World Food Policy Volume/Issue 2-2/3-1 Fall 2015/Spring 2016 | Page 87

World Food Policy expenditure shares among the four groups which suggest that differences may exist in the quality of food assuming positive income elasticity for food expenditures, i.e., as households get better off, their absolute expenditures on food increase. Also, no difference can be observed in sanitation parameters, neither on household nor village level. However, a marked difference can be observed in children who were reported sick. Also, undernourished children tend to have mothers with fewer years of education. Marked differences exist between poor and nonpoor households, e.g., in labor allocation, poor households are more agriculturally based and nonpoor households have a higher share of wage employment and small-scale business. Furthermore, differences also exist in sanitary conditions, e.g., nonpoor households have better access to water and better hygienic conditions. Furthermore, poor households tend to live in remote mountainous areas. However, differences between households with underweight and normal weighted children for both income groups (poor and nonpoor) are small. Overall, the shares of undernourished children among poor households are about 1:2, whereas it is about 1:5 in nonpoor households. Further analysis using this dataset for a Tobit model for the four household groups (Waibel and Hohfeld 2015) showed that the factors that influence nutrition outcomes, measured as Z-scores of the weight-for-age indicator, are poverty status and income, mother’s height, mother’s education, migration status of the mother, and sanitation status of the household. Most importantly, regression coefficients of respective variables differ by poverty status. Hence, nonmonetary factors are important entry points to reduce undernutrition and, therefore, monetary poverty reduction is not a sufficient condition for eliminating food insecurity. This finding is further underlined by a prediction of future undernutrition rates based on the regressions. Even under the assumption of high growth, income growth alone will not be able to reduce undernutrition to a level of low severity until the year 2030 (Waibel and Hohfeld 2015). Impact of food prices on food consumption shares This second case study shows the impact of food prices on food consumption shares. From September 2006 to June 2008, the international prices of food commodities increased dramatically, driving the food price index to an unprecedented peak since 1975. Compared to 2005, the food price index increased by ~80%, driven mainly by increasing cereal prices, which increased by 230%. In Figure 1, the effect of food prices on the distributions of food consumption shares are shown for rural households in Thailand and Vietnam using the same panel data from the six provinces as described previously. The data in Figure 1 show the frequency distribution of household food consumption shares in 2007 and 2010, i.e., before and after the food price and economic crisis. The data from some 4,000 households are taken from the consumption module of the household questionnaire. As shown, after the economic crisis, the distributions shifted to the right for both countries. 87