World Food Policy Volume/Issue 2-2/3-1 Fall 2015/Spring 2016 | Page 151

World Food Policy to agricultural development in the poorer countries meeting agreed quantifiable criteria, in an agreed proportion to what these richer countries do for their domestic farmers. Just to suggest an idea of relevant orders of magnitude, if one were to take no >1% of what governments do for farmers in rich countries and channel that amount into agricultural development in the poorer countries, that would increase current ODA to agriculture by ~20%. Thus, a small proportion of gov ernment support to farmers in the richer countries could do a lot to improve the prospects for agricultural development in the poorer countries. And as this approach would not raise food prices in the recipient developing countries, it would also not do any harm to poor consumers. This concrete element of financial solidarity between richer and poorer countries could do a lot to improve food security and agricultural development in countries. Conclusions T here are good reasons to believe that the “new normal” on markets for agricultural and food products may be a higher level of food prices than the world was used to before the price peak in 2007–2008 and subsequent years. Of course this is not a certain outcome, but one that appears to have a significant probability. However, nobody knows with any certainty what is going to happen to markets in the years to come. Given that uncertainty the international trade regime should be prepared for both high and low food prices. In the past, the WTO and its predecessor, the GATT, focused on depressed prices and tried to discipline policies that contributed to price depression. In other words, the international trade regime was traditionally focused on limiting farm support so as to act against depressed food prices. There is no reason to discard that orientation altogether. However, to be on the safe side the WTO should also do more to guard against high food prices. One of the options available and worthy of a negotiating effort is a more effective and operational discipline on export restrictions. The international community should certainly also do more to improve food security in developing countries. One option in that regard is to establish a link between the benefits governments in rich countries provide to their domestic farmers on the one hand, and what they do on the other hand for agricultural development and food security in the poorer countries. As far as domestic policies in developing countries are concerned, there is reason to reconsider the price support policies pursued by many governments through both border measures and domestic instruments. Quite apart from efficiency considerations, which also speak against such price support policies, in most developing countries these policies do more harm to food consumers than they provide benefits to farmers. And where price support comes in the guise of improving food security, e.g., through public stockholding for food security purposes, one should be particularly skeptical. There are much more effective and efficient ways of improving food security and at the same time fostering agricultural development. 151