World Food Policy Volume/Issue 2-2/3-1 Fall 2015/Spring 2016 | Page 127

World Food Policy wicked problem is. Now, there is a growing acceptance that food security is a wicked problem, it is a very complex thing to pull off. First of all, to solve the problem of food insecurity, markets have to do the “heavy lifting”—markets have to be the arena where virtually every decision that matters is going to get made. There are three things markets have to do. There are engineering functions: they have to move inputs and outputs from the farm through the processing sector into retail— moving and transforming the product in time, in place, and form. Whether the Soviet Union or North Korea—any kind of socialist, planned economy—they still have to do this. I was in China in 1975 there was total denial by the Maoists at the time that markets did anything. But China moved its grain, its vegetables, and its livestock products in time, place, and form—they transformed them. They actually had to do all of these functions. Now the question is how do you do them efficiently? That was not a question that the Chinese were asking from the point of view of an economist, they were asking from the point of view of an engineer—a planner in that sense. But if you do these tasks efficiently—transportation, storage, processing—the marketing sector becomes the arena for price discovery because the different prices at each stage in the marketing chain have to match the costs of creating the value added: milling the rice, moving from farm gate to warehouse, or storing it from the harvest season to the short season. Each of those costs involves real economic resources and what we want for efficiency is the costs of doing those tasks gets matched by the price differentials so that the people who will do these marketing activities sort of automatically know that they can make a little profit if they can move rice from West Java to Jakarta, for example. So the marketing system then becomes the locus for price discovery and for efficient exchange of commodities. Each time a transaction happens, these commodities typically change hands— they get a new owner. Increasingly, with modern supply chains and supermarkets at the end, there may be a single ownership pattern all the way back to the farm. Typically, of course, farmers are usually not part of that process. In more traditional marketing systems, the commodities change hands—there has to be an agreement on the terms of the exchange. All of this sounds very busy. There must be 10 billion or more of those transactions every single day. Planning agencies can’t plan that. You need to get the price discovery and the efficient exchange working almost automatically so that governments don’t have to do this, the market does it. The critical role for the market is this discovery of prices that leads to efficient exchange. And when those prices are out and visible—transparent if you like—then they provide signals to producers and to consumers for efficient resource allocation. If the price is high, you want farmers to be investing more in increasing output. You want consumers to look for substitutes for rice—be it cassava or corn (or eggs or pork). That’s what responding to these price signals is all about. And when those responses are reasonably flexible you get efficient resource allocation. It is simply impossible to sustain poverty reduction without using our resources reasonably efficiently. I am not a Chicago economist 127