World Food Policy Volume/Issue 2-2/3-1 Fall 2015/Spring 2016 | Page 115

World Food Policy

Table 4 Marginal effects from multinomial logit model

Nonpoor

Rising

Falling

Churning

Poor

−0.04701

0.0651***

−0.00744

−0.0102

−0.0011*

2007–2008

(0.0295)

(0.0175)

(0.0167)

(0.0158)

( 0.000820)

Increase in the share of

−0.00405

0.0597***

−0.0489***

−0.00448

−0.0013**

(0.0364)

(0.0224)

(0.0197)

(0.0189)

(0.000945)

−0.0641***

0.0246***

0.0176***

0.0203***

0.00157**

(0.00993)

(0.00610)

(0.00563)

(0.00542)

(0.000802)

0.0808**

−0.00145

−0.0418**

−0.0369*

−0.000644

(0.0334)

(0.0176)

(0.0207)

(0.0191)

(0.000925)

−0.000367

0.000721

0.000273

−0.000629

2.54e-06

(0.000771)

(0.000456)

(0.000425)

(0.000394)

(1.84e-05)

Head is from the Kinh

0.0916***

−0.0486**

−0.0148

−0.0249

−0.00323

(2007)

(0.0350)

(0.0238)

(0.0186)

(0.0185)

(0.00252)

Attains primary school

−0.0517

0.0104

0.0347

0.00624

0.000336

(0.0368)

(0.0199)

(0.0239)

(0.0161)

(0.000776)

0.0320

−0.0149

0.00751

−0.0234

−0.00125

and beyond

(0.0347)

(0.0205)

(0.0189)

(0.0179)

(0.00111)

Asset index

0.125***

0.345***

−0.192***

−0.265***

−0.0135*

(0.0729)

(0.0446)

(0.0391)

(0.0376)

(0.00691)

0.0292

−0.0100

−0.0228

−0.000417

0.00409

(0.0300)

(0.0195)

(0.0149)

(0.0164)

(0.00304)

−0.0184

0.0334*

−0.0270**

0.00836

0.00366

(0.0277)

(0.0185)

(0.0131)

(0.0143)

(0.00260)

Increase in the share of
nonagriculture income

nonagriculture income
2008–2010

Household size

Head is male

Head age

Attains middle school

Hà Tĩnh
Thừa Thiên Huế

Notes: Omitted categories: head is female, is from ethnic minority groups, has no schooling, Đắk Lắk,
poverty dynamics are referred to national poverty line. All control variables refer to the base year level
(2007). Nonagriculture income refers to nonagricultural income. Pseudo R2 = 0.226, Observations=
1,858. The MNL regression passes tests of IIA assumption. Standard errors in parentheses.
*** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0.1.

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