Whitonomics - Issue 2 July 2014 | Page 2

KEY ECONOMIST John Maynard Keynes A brief introduction Ayomide Thomas S ome label him as the father of modern macroeconomics, and although others question his theories and ideas, there is no doubt that John Maynard Keynes is one of the most influential and adroit economists ever to have lived. Born on 5 June 1883 in Cambridge, much was expected of Keynes from a young age. With his mother being the town’s first female Mayor and his father being a well-respected economist and philosopher, Keynes naturally excelled in academia. He did so willingly, studying mathematics at Cambridge University before subsequently working in the India Office where he published critically acclaimed books and dissertations, such as Indian Currency and Finance in which he described the workings of India’s monetary system. He later published The Economic Consequences of the Peace during his time working as the principal representative of the British Treasury, in which he highlighted the flaws of the Treaty of Versailles and predicted the Second World War occurring as a result of Germany’s resentment of the treaty. However, his real success came by the publication of The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, perceived by some as the manual of modern macroeconomics. This book gained considerable popularity and provided a platform for his ideas and theories to be acknowledged worldwide. “Long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long run we are all dead.” Spoken by the man himself, the most important thing to remember when studying Keynesian economics is that shortterm effects take priority over the possible consequences in the long run. Keynes believed the level of aggregate demand (the demand for all the goods and services in an economy) is the main determinant of economic growth; made up of consumption, investment by firms, government spending and net exports. Due to low levels of consumption, investment and demand for exports during times of recession, he strongly believed in the need for the government themselves to boost aggregate demand through the use of fiscal policy, in order to help the economy to recover. Prior to the publication of The General Theory, the widelyaccepted neoclassical economic theory suggested that economic growth was self-adjusting e.g. a fall in aggregate demand would cause a fall in production and wages, which would cause inflation to fall which in turn, would cause em- ployers to employ more people and increase production. This cyclical method of economic thinking was in essence disproved by the severity and depth of the Great Depression, and this gave Keynes a platform on which his ideas could be heard. Upon recovery from the Great Depression, President Franklin D. Roosevelt, after his lack of success in cutting spending during recessions, adopted fiscal policy by increasing government spending in the economy - one example of this is his decision to create public sector projects, which provided both employment and demand for the services produced in them. Keynes himself died in 1946 but his ideas are as popular now as they were then. President Obama’s decision to introduce the stimulus bill in 2009, which saw $831 billion spent on the economy by the government during the recession. The result was the creation of 4 million jobs and economic stability at a time where the US economy was only a matter of time away from a total economic meltdown. To him we owe the very existence of capitalism - as it seemed on the brink of extinction during the Great Depression – as well as its prosperity in the modern-day global economy. His revolutionary style of economic thinking paved the path for many to follow. Thus, it is no wonder that he gained his title as the father of modern macroeconomics.