Upharmacia Aug/Sept 2015 | Page 2

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MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT

Table : Key macroeconomic indicators in Ukraine ( Jan-Sept 2015 )
2015
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q1
Q2
Q3
GDP ( bn USD )
17.353
20.795
GDP growth , % y-o-y
-51%
-35%
Export of goods ( bn USD )
2.98
2.99
3.45
3.07
2.94
3.09
3.15
3.09
3.35
Export growth , % y-o-y
-32%
-37%
-32%
-39%
-41%
-30%
-34%
-22%
-22%
Import of goods ( bn USD )
3.01
2.86
3.17
2.86
2.63
2.76
2.98
3.88
3.24
Import growth , % y-o-y
-34%
-41%
-35%
-38%
-46%
-37%
-34%
-2%
-30%
Industrial production sales ( bn USD )
6.01
4.56
5.51
5.91
5.65
5.79
5.71
5.42
5.72
Industrial production growth , % y-o-y
-41%
-54%
-45%
-33%
-38%
-35%
-33%
-23%
-20%
Retail turnover of enterprises ( bn USD )
1.97
2.72
4.47
6.24
8.71
10.41
12.10
14.05
15.81
Retail turnover growth , % y-o-y
-50%
-63%
-56%
-45%
-39%
-39%
-41%
-34%
-35%
Unemployment rate
2.0
2.0
1.9
1.8
1.8
1.7
1.6
1.6
1.5
Average salary ( USD )
218
148
166
176
193
202
202
194
199
OFFICIAL CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATE
UAH / USD
15.8
24.5
23.3
22.7
20.9
21.2
21.8
21.6
21.8
UAH / EUR
18.5
27.8
25.3
24.5
23.3
23.8
23.9
24.0
24.5
PHARMACEUTI CAL INDUSTRY INDICATORS
Export of pharma products ( mio USD )
11.79
12.05
13.37
13.46
13.00
15.36
13.85
9.01
13.79
Pharma Export growth , % y-o-y
-1%
-42%
-50%
-44%
-39%
-39%
-6%
-54%
-47%
Import of pharma products ( mio USD )
90.2
114.5
103.3
103.7
84.2
115.0
106.5
93.3
121.1
Pharma Import growth , % y-o-y
-49%
-47%
-67%
-36%
-60%
-44%
-47%
-47%
-31%
Pharma retail sales , values ( mio USD )
239.8
177.0
197.6
180.0
193.0
177.7
172.6
177.1
193.2
Retail sales in values growth , % y-o-y
-41%
-54%
-47%
-40%
-28%
-29%
-32%
-24%
-28%
Pharma retail trade , volumes ( mio units )
132.4
143.9
141.5
122.6
124.5
118.4
119.5
122.5
126.7
Retail sales in volumes growth , % y-o-y
-21%
-15%
-21%
-20%
-11%
-9%
-10%
-8%
-11%
WACP , USD
1.95
1.81
1.24
1.41
1.47
1.52
1.48
1.45
1.52
WACP growth , % y-o-y
-21%
-22%
-40%
-27%
-23%
-21%
-23%
-18%
-19%
CPI of Ukraine
128.5
134.5
145.8
160.9
158.4
157.5
155.3
152.8
151.9
Pharma products CPI 149.2 155.5 170.3 164.7 159.5 153.5 151.8 149.4 145.8 Local companies share , values , % 38.7 38.5 39.6 40.7 41.5 41.7 41.8 41.4 41.4
Local companies share , volumes , % 74.9 75.2 77.1 77.6 77.6 77.9 78.4 78.2 76.5
Description of the indicators : Macroeconomic Indicators
GDP ( Gross Domestic Product ) is an aggregate measure of production equal to the sum of the gross values added of all resident , institutional units engaged in production ( plus any taxes , and minus any subsidies , on products not included in the value of their outputs ) calculated in current prices . Converted from UAH to USD in accordance with an average official NBU exchange rate in the corresponding period . Hereinafter : excluding the temporarily occupied territory of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and City of Sevastopol , as well as the part of zone of the antiterrorist operation . Source : State Statistics Service of Ukraine .
Export of goods is a sale of goods by Ukrainian subjects of foreign economic activities to foreign subjects of foreign economic activities ( including non-cash payment ) with or without exportation of these goods through the customs border of Ukraine , including the re-export of goods . Initially calculated in USD . Source : State Statistics Service of Ukraine .
Import of goods is a purchase ( including non-cash payment ) of goods by Ukrainian subjects of foreign economic activities in foreign subjects of economic activities with or without the importation of these goods into the territory of Ukraine , including the purchase of goods for domestic consumption by establishments and organizations of Ukraine located abroad . Initially calculated in USD . Source : State Statistics Service of Ukraine .
Industrial production sales is the value of industrial goods , which are actually shipped in the period , as indicated in documents decorated as the basis for calculating with the buyer ( customer ), regardless of income payments for them . Converted from UAH to USD in accordance with an average official NBU exchange rate in the corresponding period . Source : State Statistics Service of Ukraine .
Retail turnover of enterprises is the value of consumer goods sold via retail trade and restaurants to the population by all operating enterprises . It also includes direct retail sales by industrial , transport and other non-trade enterprises . In addition , retail turnover includes retail sales of food products to departments , organizations and enterprises to provide meals to the people they serve ( at sanatoria , children ’ s care institutions , hospitals , etc .). Reflected in current prices . Converted from UAH to USD in accordance with an average official NBU exchange rate in the corresponding period . Source : State Statistics Service of Ukraine .
Unemployment rate is a ratio ( percent ) of the unemployed registered at the State Employment Service to the average annual population of working age . Source : State Statistics Service of Ukraine .
Average salary is an average value of remuneration in cash and in kind paid to employees for time worked or work done . Converted from UAH to USD in accordance with an average official NBU exchange rate in the corresponding period . Source : State Statistics Service of Ukraine .
Pharmaceutical Industry Indicators
Export of pharma products is an export of goods related to the group “ Pharmaceutical products ” under the Ukrainian Classification of Goods for Foreign Economic Activities . Initially calculated in USD . Source : State Statistics Service of Ukraine .
Import of pharma products is an import of goods related to the group “ Pharmaceutical products ” under the Ukrainian Classification of Goods for Foreign Economic Activities . Initially calculated in USD . Source : State Statistics Service of Ukraine .
Pharma retail sales are retail sales of different product categories of “ pharmacy basket ” ( drugs , medical devices , cosmetics and food supplements ) in values and volumes . Converted from UAH to USD in accordance with an average official NBU exchange rate in the corresponding period . Source : Morion .
WACP ( Weighted average cost of a pack ) is a ratio of pharma retail sales in values to pharma retail sales in volumes .
CPI ( Consumer price index ) is an indicator of changes at the time of prices and tariffs for commodities and services being purchased by the population for unproductive consumption calculated to corresponding month of previous year . Source : State Statistics Service of Ukraine .
Pharma products CPI is a Consumer price index of “ Pharmaceutical products , medical products , appliances and equipment ” group calculated to corresponding month of previous year . Source : State Statistics Service of Ukraine .
Local companies share is the share ( percent ) of sales related to Ukrainian companies in overall pharma retail sales in values and volumes . Source : Morion
Official currency exchange rate is the rate established by the National Bank of Ukraine under which Ukrainian national currency – UAH ( Ukrainian hryvnia ) will be exchanged for foreign currency ( USD or EUR ). Calculated as average value in the corresponding period . Source : National Bank of Ukraine .
Ukrainian Pharmaceutical Market Monthly : September / August 2015