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cf overview_cf 25/03/2015 18:08 Page 1 onsumers are buying 4K displays at quite spectacular rates. Research specialist GfK suggests that Europe’s three largest countries (Germany, UK and France) could each end 2015 with a million – or more – receivers installed. Last December’s (2014) total sales were around 200,000 in each of the three key markets, and sales volume is expected to be around 60,000 units a month this year. Strategy Analytics is saying much the C Chris Forrester rounds up the latest research and industry developments. VP reception systems, told the London conference that SES was very aware that the pace of innovation in 4K was challenging. Humorously, he showcased what he described as “Phase 1” of TV with an ancient 1950’s TV set, and then a “Phase 2” set from no 4K plans of its own as yet, the IOC is simply being realistic. Panasonic, however, is likely to video the Games at least for its own promotional use. But while there are now many ‘narrowcasting’ OTT suppliers of 4K content, there are also a large number of real, live 4K/UHD channels on air. Recent deployments by TataSky and Videocon d2h in India, as well as a number of US and South Korean services, are already active. DirecTV in the US explained its philosophy in February, with CEO Mike Ultra-HD is catching on, and fast! same and that shipments of 4K/Ultra HD TVs grew 633% in 2014 to reach 12.1m units with Asia Pacific – mostly China accounting for 75% followed by North America (12%) and Western Europe (11%). Moreover, those numbers will double this year and they forecast that UHD will become mass-market by 2018-19. The receivers, unfortunately, might not all be capable of handling the very latest Wide Colour Gamut/High Dynamic Range and 50/60 Hz higher frame rates, but consumers seem not to care. They are tempted by stunning – although perhaps slow-moving – demos in electrical stores, and tempted by affordable prices and the promise of dedicated UHD channels down the line. But channels are slow to arrive. A February conference in London heard Sky Germany’s Stephan Heimbecher (head of innovation and standards) declare that his team were ready to start transmissions, once management gave him the Green Light. His Sky UK colleague Chris Johns was more circumspect and hinted that perhaps an OTT service would appear prior to a ‘full’ 4K channel. “We want to know what we can fit on a single [satellite] transponder, should it be necessary. We’re not ruling anything out; we’re looking at it economically. The lower the price for distributing a piece of content, the better it is, obviously,” said Johns. That reticence is not shared by UK-based digital TV and Media Consulting firm FairmileWest and specialist consultant Nick Russell, who says that “at least six major Pay-TV broadcast operators will launch UHD services in the second-half of this year.” Satellite operator SES’s Thomas Wrede, 18 EUROMEDIA UHD 2015 1967 when colour was introduced and a later “Phase 3” model when wide screens were added. This, he said was a 20-year evolution. He doubted whether broadcasters today would take five years to progress through three stages of standardisation White saying: “The first and most important question right now is what content is going to be available in 4K. Now there are a lot of ways to get there. The best way is to shoot in 4K, but that's quite expensive, and that's why I don't think you see any of the guys jumping in for linear streaming. We are working on getting more content available. The good news is with our new satellite capacity, we have the capacity to do linear [4K] channels. We have the capacity to do quite a bit more than we're doing today.” Investment bank Exane BNPParibas summed up the situation nicely in February 2015, saying: “With global UHD screen shipments set to rise by 200% in 2015 (Consumer Electronics Association forecasts), we expect a growing number of TV broadcasters, in particular Pay-TV platforms, to launch their first Ultra HD channels over the coming two to five years. In our view, Pay-TV operators are likely to use Ultra HD channels to reinforce their commercial value in their fight against OTT.” Whatever the arguments as to when, it is inevitable that 4K/Ultra-HD – in one version or another - will be on European TV screens shortly, and perhaps this coming winter. As to predicting when Sky (in the UK, Germany or Italy) will make an announcement is anyone’s guess! It is worth remembering that Sky neve