Travis AFB Sustainability Study Report Final Sustainability Study Report | Page 22
It is important to examine past, current, and future growth trends to
understand the types and amount of growth and development occurring in
the Study Area. Identifying growth patterns for the area surrounding
Travis AFB is one step in determining pote ntial future compatibility issues or
areas of concern associated with where new growth may occur that could
impact or be impacted by military operations. This section assesses the
recent and projected future population changes within the TSS Study Area,
as well as housing trends that could be indicators of future growth. All the TSS jurisdictions saw an increase in their population levels, with the
cities of Fairfield and Suisun City seeing the largest percentage growth from
2000 to 2010. Solano County’s location midway between San Francisco and
Sacramento and adjacent to Napa, mild climate, and open space has helped
to drive this population increase. The jurisdictions in the area have worked
to achieve a blend of agriculture, corporate business, and pleasant lifestyle
to enhance the attractiveness of the region. Due to the County’s orderly
growth ordinance, most growth is within incorporated cities.
Population Future Population Projections
Population data is based on the 2016 estimates provided by the California
Department of Finance and data from the US Census. Population numbers
show the growth or decline in people in a geographical area. Population is a
major factor for the economy of the Study Area and ultimately supports the
employment and housing opportunities. Table 1 shows the 2000 and
2010 census totals and percent change in populations of jurisdictions within
the TSS Study Area. The table also shows the percentage change from the
2010 census total to the 2016 estimate. Table 1 shows the population projections for the TSS communities. Of the
cities within the immediate vicinity of Travis AFB, Vallejo had the highest
population in 2016, with 117,322 people, and is projected to increase by
six percent by the year 2020. Vacaville, the second largest city in the Study
Area, is expected to grow at a higher rate (eight percent). Suisun City, the
city with the smallest population in 2010 is expected to grow at the same
rate as Vacaville, by eight percent. While all of these rates are lower than
the projected rate for the State of California, Solano County as a whole is
expected to grow at a higher rate than the state.
Table 1.
Population Change 1990‐2010 and Estimates through 2030
Jurisdiction
California
2000
2010
33,871,648 37,253,956
% Change
2000‐2010
2016
Estimate
% Change
2010‐2016
2020
Estimate
% Change
Estimate
2030
Estimate
% Change
Estimate
10% 39,256,000 5% 40,643,643 4% 44,279,354 9%
Solano County 394,542 413,344 5% 431,498 4% 447,217 4% 493,422 10%
City of Fairfield 96,178 105,321 10% 112,637 7% 118,900 6% 124,300 5%
Suisun City 26,118 28,111 8% 29,091 3% 36,500 8% 38,600 7%
City of Vacaville
City of Vallejo
88,625 92,428 4% 97,667 6% 105,000 8% 109,400 4%
116,760 115,942 ‐1% 117,322 1% 121,000 3% 126,200 4%
Source: US Census Bureau (2000 and 2010), California Department of Finance (2016 Estimate) UC Davis Center for Regional Change, 2010‐2060 (Projections for California and Solano County); Association of the Bay
Area Governments Population Projections, 2009 (Projections for Cities of Fairfield, Suisun City, and Vacaville) and 2013 (for City of Vallejo)
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