Timber iQ August - September 2017 // Issue: 33 | Page 58

REGULARS - TALKING TIMBER High stakes for future timber supply The next few years look positive for the timber industry, as the demand is high and the supply adequate. By Roy Southey, executive director of Sawmilling South Africa | Images by Dolphin Bay Timber A timber shortage looms, as the total area under plantation in South Africa is not expanding in line with demand for structural timber. I n the medium term, however, a timber shortage looms, as the total area under plantation in South Africa is not expanding in line with the demand for structural timber. South Africa is self-sufficient currently regarding structural timber. However, the shortage in the next five to six years is what we must address. This year, the demand for structural timber is particularly high in the southern Cape and Western Cape. Indications are that the pole industry, too, is healthy, largely because the government continues to implement large electrification programmes. After five or six years, the supply is expected to become inadequate for demand. Plans are not yet in place to ensure an adequate future supply of timber, and it is estimated that South Africa must import nearly half its pine for structural purposes within the next two decades. The sawmilling industry is in consultation with the government about several possible remedial measures. One is for the government to grant licences for more 56 AUGUST / SEPTEMBER 2017 // plantations. The restrictions were introduced about 20 years ago due to a dwindling water supply, and as the economy of the country grew, the establishment of forests lagged behind. It takes 22 to 30 years for trees to mature sufficiently to be used for structural timber, depending on where the plantations are in the country. Another measure is for the sawmilling industry to increase its efficiency. Currently, only about 49% of every tree is used, of which 20% goes into the structural industry. We need to improve this figure. Expensive new technology is required to achieve this. We have been talking to the Department of Trade and Industry about this possibility, but whether it is viable for companies at this stage is debatable. Each of the measures to ensure an adequate supply of South African-grown timber would take many years to implement. See more on page 58