The TRADE 59 - Q1 2019 | Page 52

[ M A R K E T R E V I E W Alasdair Haynes, a veteran exchange executive who has first- hand experience of challenging incumbent exchanges as a leader of Chi-X and, more recently, founder of Aquis Exchange with its unique subscription-based pricing model, believes that MEMX must make its mission clearer. “There needs to be a good reason for setting up a new exchange,” Haynes explains. “You have to be able to offer something that is substantially different and better than the status quo. Just doing the same thing for a lower price isn’t necessarily going to be enough to get people to switch. “We simply don’t know yet what MEMX plans to do that’s original. So far they have only talked about offering lower fees and that won’t be a paradigm shift like Chi-X was with fast pan-European trading, or Aquis with subscription pricing.” Haynes added that the only realistic way for MEMX to get to market quickly and to be genuinely low-cost is to bring in an efficient and independent technology pro- vider. If it takes the in-house route the consortium risks being subject to internal politics, while buying its technology from a rival such as Nasdaq could see the venture become a non-starter. Projects like MEMX also have a bad reputation, in that they are notorious for being expensive to run and slow to make progress. “There is a long history of groups of rivals forming consortia to launch ventures for the ‘good of the market’. These don’t often succeed as the constituent firms continue to be rivals in every other aspect of their business and don’t easily adapt to co-operative mode,” said Haynes. “Also, in the case of MEMX, many of the firms 52 // TheTrade // Spring 2019 | E X C H A N G E S ] have strongly contrasting ways of trading and finding a formula that will suit all the participants won’t be easy.” Potential success Despite the challenges ahead, many in the industry are relatively bullish on MEMX’s future success considering the reach and market share that the founding members have. Aite Group’s Mindlin said that he believes MEMX has a good chance of winning market share from the likes of NYSE, Nasdaq and Cboe. The consortium-owned exchange is largely being led by Virtu Finan- cial and Citadel Securities, which together hold around 40% of order flow in US markets. “He who controls the market’s liquidity controls the market,” Mindlin said. “With the members retail wholesalers, four of the larg- est online brokerages, three of the largest retail warehouses, and three of the largest institutional brokers. Or, in other words, you have firms that quote, firms that execute for retail and institutional firms, and the major retail brokers them- selves, Tabb told The TRADE. “It’s a very impressive line-up of firms, but that said, unless you can post very aggressive quotes, it becomes difficult to send market orders to an exchange,” Tabb said. “You can’t send an order to an exchange that can’t give you best execution, so you need to create a conducive environment to post, and then the liquidity takers will appear. “Once you get the order flow, then it creates competition for the other exchanges to better their pricing and trading environment. “It’s a very impressive line-up of firms, but that said, unless you can post very aggressive quotes, it becomes difficult to send market orders to an exchange.” LARRY TABB, CHAIRMAN, TABB GROUP as owners of MEMX, the exchange should be able to build the market and fee structures in their image. On the surface, it seems like the owners are in good positions: Start a new exchange, route your order flow to it; maybe you exit, and maybe you don’t.” Larry Tabb, Tabb Group’s re- search chairman and founder, also believes MEMX has a good proba- bility of success, but warns that it isn’t a ‘slam dunk’. The founding members include two of the largest proprietary market makers, three of the largest So will this be easy? No, but it certainly is doable and fairly likely given the firms involved and the orders that they execute.” Others in the industry believe that MEMX could be a ploy or bluff to bring the fight on market data and access to the exchanges. But some say that regardless of this, and if successful, MEMX could have a positive impact on markets in terms of the battle for lower costs. Liquidnet’s global head of market structure, Adam Sussman, wrote in a blog post that the argument the