The TRADE 59 - Q1 2019 | Page 34

[ C O V E R S T O R Y | C A R L J A M E S ] “T he bond markets are over 300 years old and, whatever it happens to look like, people have always been issuing debt throughout that time. When we look at the bond market there’s a level of sophistication and – no pun intended – maturity coming to the market.” Carl James, global head of fixed income trading at Pictet Asset Management, the buy-side arm of Swiss bank Pictet Group, believes that while fixed income trading may have been going for centuries, there has always been an element of randomness to the pro- cess. Exchange floor price quotes, over-confidence of market knowledge and minds still stuck in the 1980’s are all challenges to be overcome if the fixed income world is to move forward, although James believes the dial is now rapidly moving to a quant-driven approach. Having joined the ¤152 billion asset manager just over three years ago to run its fixed income trading desks worldwide, James has set about utilising his 30-odd years of global capital markets experience to help guide the Geneva-based firm into the future. The real challenge, he says, will be changing minds about where fixed income desks are heading. “There is a new paradigm and that is a hard wheel to turn, either internally or externally, so changes can be difficult,” he explains. “There are a number of portfolio managers that absolutely embrace the change and we’re doing some nice work together looking at the timing of trades and order generation timing, for example. This is the part I think is really interesting, because you start to understand the randomness and find better patterns.” James says that the reception to such a new approach has been mixed. Some “love this quantitative 34 // TheTrade // Spring 2019 data” because it allows them to improve their own working process, while others have pushed back against the change, arguing that it doesn’t provide the whole story. “They’re right, it doesn’t give the whole story, but it’s still evidence,” he says, pointing to the equivalent journey the equities market has been through. The other key challenge for the fixed income market according to James is that of industry standardisation, adopting the Tuckman model of group development (forming–storming–norming–performing) to illustrate the industry’s progress. “That’s classic trajectory, but if you look at that in the fixed income world on a broad level, we are in the storming process,” he says. “MiFID II was the catalyst – the forming stage – and now we are storming. There are 150 trading platforms out there and 150 of them aren’t all going to survive. “To be clear, that’s not standardisation of the in- vestment process. As a good example, ISDA was put together because bilateral was a real pain to negotiate contracts very time and it standardised the process. Clearing is the next step of standardisation there.” Reg and tech While he may describe MiFID II as the catalyst for pushing the fixed income markets into the next phase of its evolution, James acknowledges that there was also a technology groundswell leading up to the implementa- tion of the new regime, which has forced many industry participants to examine both their in-house infrastruc- ture and their trading processes. Buy-side trading desks that had previously been run- ning on decade’s old technology had to make a change before the new rules came in and that meant every-