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[ M A R K E T R E V I E W | T R A D I N G toxicity. It is the absolute lowest in some markets.” So why hasn’t activity on lit venues and exchanges like Aquis already grown significantly? What If you’re not going to a venue that is performing well and the regulator asks why, it’s a very tricky conversation to have when that data is public. - MICHAEL HORAN, HEAD OF TRADING, PERSHING is prohibiting participants from opting to use such venues ahead of MiFID II? Analyst at Liberum, Jus- tin Bates, explains the complexities of the regulation itself alongside fear and an element of waiting to see what others will do, have all played a part in this. “I can understand how some mar- ket participants anticipated a shift towards lit venues ahead of MiFID II and we were all expecting firms to be ready for the new world and have their respective houses in order. The reality is we are dealing with large clients with complex systems, which take time to adjust. There is a fear and questioning of the first mover advantage, and mar- ket participants are waiting to see what others are doing,” Bates says. Horan adds there is a technolog- ical element to the lack of move- 40 TheTrade Winter 2017 V E N U E S ] ment towards disruptive trading venues like Aquis. Algorithms have a lot of back data on other venues strategically used to determine where to send orders. As Aquis Exchange is still relatively young, algorithms simply do not have much data on the venue and so will opt for a more familiar venue. Publicly Scrutinised Haynes predicts the shift will be last minute, reflecting the ‘classic nervousness’ of the industry where nobody is willing to make the first move, but somebody has to show the way. As McLoughlin already highlighted, Haynes says, “The spotlight will be on data, if the data is available to analyse then firms will look at it and liquidity should then go to venues that are providing the service to the benefit of the end client.” Market participants have predicted the turning point will be June 2018 when we see the first RTS 27 publi- cation under MiFID II. All venues will be scrutinised publicly and in terms of price reversion, likelihood of execution, costs, pricing. “We will see exactly how good each venue is and when firms draw up these re- ports it will be very difficult to ignore a venue that has a small market share but looks great,” Horan adds. “If you’re not going to a venue that is performing well and the regulator asks why, it’s a very tricky conversation to have when that data is public. This kind of transpar- ency, even though it’s painful for many firms, will help venues and certainly any worthy underdogs.” There’s no doubt 2018 will be a year of adjusting for asset managers, exchange operators and broker-deal- ers alike, but the best execution reports as required by RTS 27 very well could be the moment the winners are separated from the losers, or even the underdogs. It’s hard to ignore the amount of market participants who have pointed to disruptors like Aquis Exchange as being ones to watch in 2018. Bates summarises the point rather succinctly: “Aquis Exchange is a venue that simply cannot be ignored in terms of pricing. When it comes to order flow. We will see migration of flow out of dark pools into lit venues, which is exactly what Aquis is. “It should be a beneficiary of this, but there are two other major factors around that attraction other than the migration from dark pools. It presents a compel- ling case in terms of offering best bid and offer pricing and liquidity, and perhaps most importantly the actual cost of execution is so much lower than any other venue.” Indeed, it will be hard to argue against that.