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[ M A R K E T R E V I E W algos more on the less liquid stocks—but these will be difficult for any algo. It is hard for any algo to adjust where liquidity follows an episodic or erratic pattern.” Algorithm providers have been working on different techniques to frustrate predators. One is algorithmic switching. So-called intelligent switching engines have been used to move between algorithms and choose the best ones depending on market condi- tions for a decade now. The next generation of switching algorithms are being developed to incorporate | A L G O S ] switching between axes of order flow, in effect disappearing from where they might have become detectable.” New algo regs The company has been developing a deep learning architecture in the last year to drive the assignation of new order strategies. The technol- ogy, which is still in beta testing, will replace the previous version of the machine learning platform, offering more models and with a focus on interpreting data “through the lens of prediction,” says Wael- “Algo switching engines try and frustrate HFTs by switching between axes of order flow.” HENRI WAELBROECK, DIRECTOR OF RESEARCH, PORTWARE artificial intelligence to harness the vast stores of data from historical trading logs and use this for better execution. Portware’s algo switching engine (ASE) uses machine learning to determine which of the dozens of trading algorithms that traders have at their fingertips is likely to have the best performance for a particular order under particular market conditions. “Our ASEs are based on an effort to understand algo trading efficien- cy as a function of the order flow,” says Henri Waelbroeck, director of research at trading platform provider Portware. “Traders will be looking for signs of algo activity to see if there is a persistent buyer or seller out there. Algo switching engines try and frustrate HFTs by 48 TheTrade Summer 2017 broeck. “Rather than collecting data and making a prediction when asked, the Portware brain is designed to predict everything all the time,” he says. Others are doing similar things: “You can infer other portfolio managers might be doing similar size trades and get information to help others,” says one bank partic- ipant who asked to remain anon- ymous. “We are seeing improved performance equivalent to 20bps of expected returns in situations where you need to switch algos using machine learning.” The focus on algorithmic execu- tion comes in the glare of MiFID II which is imposing significant new regulatory edicts on the market. Rule 6 of the MiFID II Regulatory Technical Standards (RTS 6) will require governance and testing obligations for all investment firms running algorithms. While this is likely to increase the time and cost burden on managers to test each new broker algorithm suite the general feeling is it should help to manage risk associated with algo- rithmic execution. “RTS 6 is trying to prevent rogue algos which have led to events like the flash crashes,” says Horan. “Regulators are trying to bring in the proper regulations to register algos and get in proper testing which is good. It will also help cli- ents with algo risk management.” The positive aspects of MiFID II on algorithmic development are countered by continued liquidity fragmentation and greater venue complexity in Europe as new market venues come into a market already crowded with a range of exchanges, alternative trading system (ATS) and dark pools. Nav- igating this is a key consideration for future algorithmic develop- ment. Kurek says that clients have been asking for algorithms to be perfected for new venue trading. Unstoppable development “The microstructure in Eu- rope is changing,” says Kurek. “The [MiFID II] rules will lead to diminished dark pool share to be replaced by the large-in-scale waiver although the time to declare trades will be shorter under MiFID II. While the large-in-scale will improve the way we manage in- formation leakage and gaming the delay in trade reporting is going the other way.” But while there appears to be a definite move to develop new