The Silent Housing Crisis | Page 18

Housing affordability will also continue to be a challenge for seniors in the coming years. The aging of the Baby Boomers (those born between 1946 and 1964 and one of the largest demographic cohorts in American history) will have a major impact on the future housing market. By 2030, the number of Americans aged 65 or older is expected to increase to nearly 73 million and those over 85 will near nine million. By 2040, the number of Americans aged 65 or older will approach the 80-million mark (See Chart H). At the same time, older Americans will constitute an increasingly larger share of the total U.S. population. Most seniors will seek to “age in place” as long as possible in their own homes, but many homes lack the basic structural features that can support safe, independent living.53 Other seniors will seek to downsize to smaller rentals injecting additional demand into the rental market. According to Harvard’s Joint Center for Housing Studies, the number of renters over the age of 65 will increase by 2.2 million over the coming decade and account for a significant share Chart H U.S. Population Aged 65 and Older Annual Household Growth (Millions) 80 70 65 years and older 60 50 40 85 years and older 30 20 10 0 2010 2020 2030 2040 2000 Source: 2000 and 2010 counts from U.S. Census Bureau, “Summary File 1, Matrices DP-1. Profile of General Demographic Characteristics: 2000 and 2010.” Decennial Census ( Washington, D.C.: 2001 and 2012); projections from U.S. Census Bureau, “Table 2, Projections of the Population by Selected Age Groups and Sex for the United States: 2015 to 2060.” 2012 National Population Projections: Summary Tables. 18 Photo: The Bozzuto Group The Aging of the Baby Boomers of total rental household growth.54 Many will likely seek rental homes close to transportation options and in communities where other seniors live. Ensuring these rental homes have the necessary structural features and access to services to support senior living will be a significant concern. Housing affordability will also continue to be a challenge for seniors in the coming years. Today, among those aged 65 and over, about half of all renters and half of those homeowners still holding mortgages pay thirty percent or more of their incomes just to cover housing costs.55 In addition, 30 percent of senior renters and 23 percent of senior owners with mortgages have housing cost burdens that exceed 50 \