The China Investor Volume 1, Issue 2 | Page 67

2017-2035 预计至2035年的就业量净增长 Net Employment Growth Thru 2035 菲尼克斯 Phoenix 迈阿密 Miami 旧金山湾 San Francisco Bay 亚特兰大 Atlanta 奥斯汀-圣安东尼奥 Austin-San Antonio 休斯顿 Houston 奥兰多/坦帕 Orlando/Tampa 纽约 New York 达拉斯-沃斯堡 Dallas-Ft. Worth 洛杉矶/河滨县 Los Angeles/Riverside 数据来源:Moody’s Analytics 0 400,000 800,000 这些中国投资资金中70% 以上流向了四个主要门户 城市,其中纽约获得的投 资资金最多... 虑的同时,资金流集中导致很多外国投资者面临着另一 层面的投资风险。随着流入美国的全球资金增加,资本 化率降低至历史最低水平,主要门户市场中现有资产定 价已有所上升。凭借经济、基础设施和成本基本要素方 面的良好条件,美国二线城市房地产市场可以为外国资 本提供良好的投资机会。 由于投资者对上述市场不太熟悉,所以开展彻底的市场 调查,确定历史和新兴城市发展模式,审查当地或区域 合作伙伴显得更加重要。对于一些投资者而言,与一个 门户市场中的现有投资合作伙伴一起进入上述新兴二 线城市之一可能是最佳选择。 马克·杜牧 马克·杜牧先生在房地产战略市场分析、研究、资 本市场和发展领域有着超过25年的丰富经验,作 为Regent Park Advisors公司首席执行官,他就 房地产投资、管理和战略性决策制定的各个方面 为公司客户提供关键性建议。他毕业于佐治亚大学,是城市土地学 会(ULI)正式会员和学会社区发展委员会主席,他还是和北德克萨 斯地区咨询委员会董事会成员。 WWW.THECHINAINVESTOR.COM 1,200,000 1,600,000 Source: Moody’s Analytics gravitate to Miami with its long historical immigration patterns, cross-border business relationships and Hispanic centric culture, concerns for residential overbuilding persist as construction remains high. However, opportunities for diversification away from Miami exist throughout the State of Florida not just in Orlando, but other areas of southeast Florida north of Miami from Ft. Lauderdale to West Palm Beach and west of Orlando to Tampa. While underlying economic growth and good market fundamentals supports a serious look at many markets across the United States, capital flow concentration creates another level of investment risk for many foreign investors. As global capital flows into the U.S. have increased, pricing of existing assets in the major gateway markets have increased with CAP rates falling to unprecedented levels. With strong economic, infrastructure and cost fundamentals, real estate markets in second tier in the U.S. could provide foreign capital with good investment options. With less familiarity with these markets it is increasingly important to conduct thorough market research, to determine historic and emerging urban growth patterns and to vet local or regional partners. Following an existing investment partner from a gateway market into one of these newer second tier cities might be a best first option for some. Mark Drumm With over 25 years of experience in real estate strategic market analysis, research, capital markets and development, Mark Drumm, as CEO of Regent Park Advisors, provides key insight for all aspects of real estate investment, management and strategic decision making for the firm’s clients. He is a graduate of the University of Georgia and is full member of ULI where he serves as chairman of a Community Development Council and the North Texas District Council Advisory Board. 66