Test Drive | Page 58

Chapter  2:  Concept  note     2.6    The  Yemen  water  conflict  analysis  framework     Key  message:     • An  appropriate  analysis  of  conflicts  and  suggestions  for  conflict  resolutions  should  be  based  on   an  integrated  analysis  of  the  conflicts,  not  only  looking  at  water-­‐related  issues,  but  also  at  the   historical,   political,   institutional,   legal   and   societal   context.   Context   and   contextual   changes;   how   are   the   conflicts   embedded   in   the   local   physical,   socio-­‐economic,   political   and   legal-­‐ institutional   structure,   which   lessens,   intensifies,   shapes   and   distributes   the   conflict?   Have   contextual  changes  triggered  or  caused  conflict?     • Stakeholder  analysis:  Identify  the  practices,  interests  and  influences  of  the  involved  actors:  who   gets  what,  when  and  how?   • Dispute  regulation  mechanisms:  Which  solutions  for  preventing  or  resolving  conflicts  are  tried   and  why?     Based   on   the   abovementioned   frameworks,   we   envisage   that   water-­‐related   conflicts   are   embedded   in   a   wider   physical,   socio-­‐economic,   political   and   legal-­‐institutional   structure,   which   lessens,   intensifies,   shapes   and   distributes   the   conflict.   Conflict   arbitration   and   mediation   occurs   via   both   formal   structures,   as   well   as   traditional  and  spiritual  leaders.  However,  the  effectiveness  of  dispute  regulation  mechanisms  rests  not  only   on  information  availability  and  transparency,  but  also  on  the  trust  stakeholders  have  in  these  mechanisms  and   the  balance  of  power  impacting  the  acceptance  of  mediation  efforts.   Therefore,   we   derive   the   following   parameters,   which   are   elaborated   below.   In   chapters   4   (Context),   5   (Stakeholder  analysis)  and  6  (Legal  and  regulatory  framework),  these  parameters  are  analysed  in  greater  detail   for   the   specific   context   of   Yemen.   We   use   these   parameters   to   develop   and   operationalize   an   analytical   framework  for  the  design,  implementation  and  analysis  of  the  research  in  Yemen  on  water  conflicts.   2.6.1    A:  Context  and  contextual  changes   How  are  the  conflicts  embedded  in  the  local  physical,  socio-­‐economic,  political  and  legal-­‐institutional  structure,   which  lessens,  intensifies,  shapes  and  distributes  the  conflict?  Moreover,  have  contextual  changes  triggered  or   caused  conflict?     It   is   important   to   embed   water   conflicts   in   a   wider   context,   since   they   are   not   isolated   from   other   developments,   but   occur   in   the   context   of   climatic,   demographic,   cultural   and   economic   change,   as   well   as   transformations  in  information  technologies,  global  governance,  social  conventions  and  the  globalizing  flows   of  capital  and  (to  a  lesser  extent)  labour  (see  O’Brien  and  Leichenko,  2000).     Within   the   context   of   climate   change,   the   management   of   water   resources   is   afflicted   with   uncertainties;   unpredictability   of   development,   incomplete   knowledge   or   conflicting   perspectives   on   the   seriousness   of   a   problem,  its  causes  and  potential  solutions  (Pahl-­‐Wostl,  2007;  Isendahl  et  al.,  2010).  Nowadays  uncertainties   increase  since  pace  and  dimension  of  changes  (e.g.,  climatic,  demographic)  are  accelerating  and  are  likely  to   increase  even  more  in  the  future.   The   water   system   supports   key   societal   functions,   such   as   –   in   the   Yemen   case   –   mainly   domestic   and   agricultural   water   use,   including   irrigation.   Knowledge   of   this   system   refers   to   knowledge   of   the   natural   processes,  but  also  knowledge  of  the  properties  of  the  infrastructure  depends  on  its  societal  functions.  These   The Political Economy in Yemen of Water Management: Conflict Analysis and Recommendations  45  of  241