Test Drive | Page 42

Chapter  1:  Introduction   Chapter  1.  Introduction   The  goal  of  the  project  is  to  develop  policy  relevant  recommendations  for  the  prevention  and  the  resolution  of   water-­‐related  conflict  by  assessing  the  political  economy  of  water  management  in  Yemen.  Water  management   is  a  complex  and  inherently  political  process  with  assumed  game-­‐changing  potential.  It  may  prevent  an  acute   water   crisis   from   escalating   into   a   large-­‐scale   violent   conflict,   or   it   may   exacerbate   the   situation   further.   Naturally,  the  underlying  assumptions  need  to  be  unravelled  further.       Customary  law  has  for  many  years  regulated  access  to  surface  water  in  Yemen.  Groundwater  is  considered  a   “fugitive   resource   that   has   increasingly   been   exploited   under   an   open   access   regime”   (Nibbering   1997:   40).   Nowadays,  water  management  regulations  in  Yemen  generally  lack  enforcement  and  equity  is  a  huge  problem   1 (Mewes,  2011).  Access  to  groundwater  is,  in  principle,  open  to  all,  but  de  facto  this  is  hardly  the  case.  A  recent   estimate  suggests,  “90  per  cent  of  the  water  resources  are  used  for  irrigation  and  that  45  per  cent  of  the  urban   population   has   no   access   to   centralized   water   supply   systems   and   about   65   per   cent   of   that   population   is   without  centralized  sanitation  systems”  (Yemeni-­‐German  Technical  Cooperation  2012).       2 In   addition   to   technical   data   on   surface   water   and   groundwater   use,  one   also   needs   to   qcquire   more   knowledge   regarding   the   different   stakeholders   and   their   vested   interests.   In   Yemen,   groundwater   is   a   common   pool   resource   with   high   risk   of   unequal   access,   unequal   distribution   and   insufficient   control   mechanisms.  This  may  exacerbate  covered  conflicts  on  water  into  escalating  violent  conflicts.       Conflict,   however,   does   not   necessarily   need   to   turn   into   violence.   Up   until   the   1960s,   Yemen   possessed   a   “remarkably   effective”   (Moore   2011)   water   management   system   that   relied   on   an   “advanced   knowledge   of   water-­‐flow   patterns   and   organizational   means   to   control   them”   (Harrower   2009).   This   primarily   applied   to   surface  water  and  was  effectively  regulated  by  means  of  customary  and  Islamic  legal  provisions  (Moore  2011).   Traditionally,   farmers   often   agreed   upon   and   implemented   sets   of   water   rights   and   rules   that   inter   alia   stipulated  which  field  would  have  to  be  irrigated  first  and  from  which  flood  category.       The  opening  of  the  country  for  the  import  of  modern  drilling  and  groundwater  withdrawal  technology  in  the   3 1970s  coupled  with  a  significant  increase  in  population  growth,  encouraged  the  use  of  groundwater  resources   for   agricultural,   industrial   purposes   and   domestic   use.   The   Yemini   government’s   water   policies   in   the   period   after  the  1970s  constituted  an  important  element  in  the  patronage  politics  that  secured  Saleh’s  power  position   for  the  following  30  years.  The  groundwater  development  enabled  farmers  to  raise  incomes,  whilst  the  subsidy   policies   allowed   the   government   to   “consolidate   its   alliances   with   many   important   interest   groups”   (Ward   2000).       Groundwater   abstraction   contributed   to   a   shift   in   the   local   configuration   of   power   in   Yemen   offering   even   greater  power  to  sheikhs  and  influential  elites,  which  led  to  the  marginalization  of  smallholders  in  rural  areas   and   the   urban   poor.   Some   individuals   have   made   c onsiderable   short-­‐term   profits   from   groundwater   while   others   have   fallen   behind.   Moreover,   national   groundwater   abstraction   initiatives   –   unlike   traditional   forms   of                                                                                                                   1  http://www.yemenwater.org/wp-­‐content/uploads/2013/03/Negenman-­‐T.-­‐2000.pdf    In   the   case   of   groundwater,   this   implies   inter   alia   the   balance   between   groundwater   abstraction   and   recharge,   the   number  of  users  per  aquifer,  and  the  rules  and  regulations  determining  the  access  to  groundwater.   3  Population   growth   rate   is   estimated   by   UNICEF   at   2.7%   per   year   (UNICEF   Country   Statistics   Yemen   2012).   The   Global   Gender  Report  2013  estimates  the  population  growth  rate  at  3,06%  (World  Economic  Forum  2013)   2 The Political Economy in Yemen of Water Management: Conflict Analysis and Recommendations  29  of  241