Test Drive | Page 182

Chapter  10:  Findings     Chapter  10.    Findings   Water  governance  and  management  is  characterized  by  complexity  and  uncertainty.  Water  issues  are  complex   due  to  their  intricate  coupling  with  multiple  issues  within  the  natural  and  societal  domains.  For  example,  the   use  of  groundwater  resources  in  Yemen  is  strongly  interwoven  with  the  (lack  of)  available  surface  water,  fuel,   social   fabric   (e.g.,   ethnic   composition,   wealth,   education   level,   employment   rate,   and   existing   norms   and   values),   and   weak   governance   capacities.   Additionally,   water   management   must   take   into   account   issues   related   to   uncertainty,   nonlinearity   and   feedback.   Uncertainties   related   to   conflict   and/or   cooperation   over   shared  water  resources  are  of  a  diverse  nature.  It  may  entail  unpredictability  of  developments  (e.g.,  climatic,   demographic,  economic,  or  political),  incomplete  knowledge,  ambiguity  or  conflicting  views  on  the  seriousness   of  a  problem,  its  causes  and  potential  solutions.  Today,  uncertainties  related  to  water  resource  management   are  on  the  rise  since  the  pace  and  dimensions  of  changes  (e.g.,  climatic,  demographic)  are  accelerating  and  are   likely  to  do  so  even  more  in  the  future.     Water   scarcity   in   Yemen   is   a   security   threat.   Each   year   2,500   people   die   as   a   result   of   a   water-­‐related   conflict,   according   to   unpublished   estimates.   Therefore,   prevention   and   adaptation   strategies   are   needed   for   the   local,   regional,  and  national  level  that  are  based  on  a  robust  understanding  of  the  various  sources  of  insecurity,  their   interdependency  and  cumulative  conflict  potential.   In  practice,  water-­‐related  conflict  resolution  is  mostly  the  outcome  of  processes  of  negotiation,  mediation  and   conciliation   that   are   rooted   in   an   in-­‐depth   understanding   of   the   social/cultural/economic   conditions   and   political  contexts.  Change  is  often  only  possible  by  means  of  constant  negotiation  and  renegotiation  between   the  many  stakeholders  at  different  levels.   10.1    About  the  research   The  conceptual  chapter  presented  an  analytical  framework  to  analyse  the  political  economy  and  the  conflict   dimensions   of   water   management   in   Yemen,   as   structural   guidance   for   the   field   research   and   subsequent   analysis.   The   key   components   in   this   framework,   based   upon   a   number   of   existing   f &