Test Drive | Page 147

Chapter  8:  Case  studies  in  Wadi  Siham       8.4    Overall  analysis     A   main   observation   is   that   there   are   several   informal   and   formal   conflict   resolution   mechanisms,   yet   all   of   them   are   too   weak.   The   post-­‐2011   events   have   for   the   time   being   contributed   to   the   overall   weaknesses   of   State   organizations   and   have   divided   and   weakened   the   traditional   mechanisms,   by   creating   more   diversity   and  more  politicization.  The  National  Dialogue  Outcomes  emphasize  the  development  of  a  genuine  civil  state   in  Yemen  –  also  as  different  from  the  earlier  system  of  political  patronage  where  local  leadership  was  co-­‐opted   into  support  for  the  central  power  and  amply  compensated  by  direct  transfers  of  funds,  assets  and  privileges.     Whilst  the  transition  makes  change,  it  is  also  easier  said  than  done.    Based  on  the  analysis  of  Wadi  Siham,  a   main   challenge   is   how   to   build   a   critical   mass   of   local   stakeholders   to   address   overdue   issues   on   water   distribution  and  ensure  the  representation  of  the  interest  of  the  least  powerful  in  this.     The   two   case   studies   presented   above   exemplify   the   deep   agrarian,   socio-­‐economic   and   political   transformations  Yemen  and  the  Tihama  Plain  have  undergone  in  the  last  several  decades,  which  also  have  had   tangible  consequences  for  water  control  and  the  materialisation  of  water  conflicts.  Below  we  analyse  several   drivers  behind  increasing  water  disputes  in  Wadi  Siham  and  assess  the  effectiveness  of  the  dispute  resolution   strategies  that  were  chased  by  the  parties.     Agrarian  change,  political  transition,  and  the  dissolution  of  local  leadership   As   highlighted   at   the   beginning   of   this   chapter,   Wadi   Siham,   as   well   as   other   wadis   of   the   Tihama,   have   experienced   a   profound   agrarian   change   which   started   in   the   1980s   and   led   towards   a   gradual   process   of   commoditization  of  agriculture.  External  forces  (subsidised  inputs,  cheap  fuel,  ban  on  imports,  cheap  land  etc.)   all   contributed   to   the   attractiveness   of   investments   in   the   Tihama   by   newcomers,   in   many   instances   urban   businessmen.   At   the   same   time,   several   local   farmers   migrated   to   Saudi   Arabia   in   search   for   better-­‐ remunerated  labour.       This  process  was  paralleled  by  social  differentiation  and  weakening  of  power  and  authority  of  traditional  local   leadership,   i.e.,   sheikhs.   Altogether,   this   meant   a   decrease   in   the   levels   of   trust   and   cooperation,   and   an   increase   in   individualism   and   opportunism.   Customary