Seagrass-Watch Magazine Issue 47 - March 2013 | Page 5

Cumulative impact mapping framework Cooktown Cairns Map of risks to seagrasses in the Great Barrier Reef World Heritage Area: Coastal areas that are dark blue have a high likelihood of seagrass presence and are areas where the risk of impacts from human activities is low. Coastal areas that are red have a high likelihood of seagrass presence and are areas where the risk of impacts from human activities is high. An alternative approach we used was Geographic Information Systems (GIS) which allowed us to map spatially the threats to seagrass which have been identified as important. The only restriction of this approach is that we can only complete this where we have good spatial data sets. So, as we have worked many decades within the Great Barrier Reef province, we used it to focus our assessment. Rarely do threats occur by themselves. They accumulate as composite risk in what is best termed as "hot spots". It is possible that seagrass meadows will survive the impact of one threat, but what if a meadow is subject to multiple threats. For the Great Barrier Reef we found nine good spatial data sets we could use and these were overlaid on a model of likely seagrass presence in coastal waters (<15m). Summarising the result, the urban coast in the south of the Great Barrier Reef has the most threats, with few threats in the north, roughly Cooktown and above. The highest accumulation of threats (as many as eight) was in the urban ports: Cairns, Townsville, Mackay and Gladstone. So in summary, the processes most likely to damage seagrass are associated with urban and port development and agriculture and the risk accumulate most around key cities and ports along our coast and are likely to do so in other parts of the world. For the Great Barrier Reef province, the key problem is ports, cities and farms which cluster around sheltered bays and estuaries which also support major seagrass meadows providing for a true “hotspot” for likely seagrass damage and loss. Mackay High High Low Low Townsville Cumulative risk score Likelihood of seagrass presence Townsville Port HT Gladstone [a] comprehensive global assessment...found that seagrasses have been disappearing at a rate of 110 square kilometres per year since 1980 (3) MARCH 2013 5