Retail Asia 2018 JunJuly2018 | Page 50

2018 RETAIL ASIA-PACIFIC TOP 500 tailing in smaller or more rural areas, small independent grocers and wet markets dominate. Moreover, with the rapid growth of e-commerce, many of these independents are turning to the e-commerce model, as well as utilising mobile platform applica- tions, to increase convenience for consumers when purchasing. Social media platforms such as Instagram and Facebook are used to help these independents connect with consumers. This trend is especially prominent in urban areas. Indonesian consumers welcome such methods to accommodate their needs. — Chayadi Karim, Analyst JAPAN Lifestyle trends impact retailing Retailing in Japan showed only marginal current value growth in 2017. Despite the stable economic conditions, consumer confidence was on a downturn due to the insecure outlook, stemming from the ageing of the population and depopulation in Japan. The younger generation, in particular was pessimistic about the economic outlook in Japan, and tended to spend less than the middle-aged and older groups. Spending patterns were also shifting from materialistic possessions to experiences and sharing, affecting consumption in retail channels. Mean- while, major contributors to growth were convenience stores and Internet retailing, which met the current demographic and lifestyle patterns in Japan. Many store-based retailers were actively investing in engagement with online retailing: build- ing or enhancing their omni-channel business structure due to the expansion of e-commerce. This factor is likely to stimulate growth in retailing over the forecast period. Changes in tourist spending impact retailing The increasing number of inbound tourists is one of the key growth drivers in retailing in Japan. The Japanese government is aiming to increase the number of inbound tourists to 40 million in 2020 and 60 million in 2030, up from the 24 million tour- ists who visited the country in 2016. Retailing benefited from a surge of shopping tourists from China in particular over the review period, although this high spending slowed from 2016 due to several factors. These included the stronger yen, the regulation to limit the value of overseas withdrawals by China UnionPay customers, imposed by the Chinese government, and the expansion of cross-border online transactions. As a result, department stores and electronics and appliance specialist retail- ers were largely affected by diminished spending. Meanwhile, many Japanese retailers are shifting to strengthen cross-border online transactions, aiming to benefit from changes in consum- ers’ spending habits. Growth driver in grocery retailers Grocery retailers are expected to reflect demographic changes, with two main factors evident. One of these is the ageing society in Japan. The population over 65 years old reached 27% of the total population in 2017. Among these, the proportion of peo- ple over 75 years old is expected to overtake the proportion of those 65-74 years old in 2017. While many people aged 65-74 remain active and healthy in Japan, people aged over 75 tend to face more health problems and become less active. Due to low mobility, there is more demand for grocery stores in small local 48 Retail Asia June/July 2018 OV E R V I E W trading areas; therefore, the number of such stores is expected to increase, responding to the ageing society. Those aged over 75 tend to be single, so they prefer to buy ready meals, as many of them are reluctant to cook from scratch. Hence, the demand for ready meals offered by grocery stores is likely to expand further. Meanwhile, with the increasing number of working women, many spend less each visit when grocery shopping, and seek convenient and time-saving options. They tend to shop for grocery items at supermarkets and convenie