Private Money411 Magazine - The Source for Real Estate Finance Spring 2014 | Page 11

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CW 274 -

Market Intelligence with Robert Fragoso, pg. 56

ant today.” According to Fragoso, income levels now are
about a third lower than they were in the previous real
estate cycle, and home prices are off only by about 20%.
The result is an unsettling disconnect, an insecurity that’s
contributed to weak demand every bit as much as the
higher bar conventional lending has set.
“When home buyers find it more difficult to qualify
for conventional loans, you’re going to see a buildup of
inventory and a lack of demand,” said Fragoso. “Forecasting for 2014, I think it’ll seem like a sluggish year but
still positive due to low inventory. But there are niches in
this market that are going to identify themselves that will
make some people a lot of money, if they can capitalize
on them.”
When a market trends downward, according to Fragoso, a lot of investors worry themselves into inaction,
thinking they can’t buy anything. But the beauty of fix
and flips, he added, is that you’re not in the market that
long.
“You’re in and out relatively quickly,” said Fragoso.
“As long as you don’t have a depreciation factor of 2% or
more per month, you can adjust your percentage of profit
and you can still make money.”
And, while it might not be as much as you might have
made in a different market, you’re still in there.
“It’s easy to forget, but people made money in 2009,
2010, and 2011,” said Fragoso. “You can’t be afraid of a
down market. You just have to be able to identify where
it’s headed.”
For more information about Anchor Loans, visit the website: www.AnchorLoans.com

Fiscal Hangover & Global
Change with Keith Fitz-Gerald

CW 273 The Decline of the EuroZone
with Alasdair MacLeod

CW 269 SWOT Analysis of Income Property,
Facebook IPO & Case Study

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PAGE 58 • 2014

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