Real Estate Investor Magazine South Africa October 2014 | Page 36

FINANCE BY YVETTE FOURIE How Interest Rates Impact House Prices and how you can benefit... M ethods used by banks to keep an economy humming generally equates to adjusting the supply of money into the economy. One of the tools used is the interest rate. Adjusting interest rates impacts on the general prices of goods and services, as well as employment, thereby affecting spending and saving. So, adjusting interest rates is an attempt to control spending and lending. Low interest rates The low interest rates during 2004 - 2006, and again since 2009, caused house prices to rise, because lending is cheaper. While the Global Financial Crisis caused a dip in house prices in 2008, the interest rates were dropped to the lowest it has been in decades, boosting house prices yet again. The result: house prices rose by 10% in 2012 and 2013. Although the rate of growth in mortgage loans has slowed to less than 5%, it is adding to a high base created by a massive 195% growth since 2003 - and therefore it could be perceived as rather unbalanced. Low interest rates encourage lending. This means that when interest rates rise, the percentage of debt to income balloons. In addition, raised interest rates make it harder to borrow money and therefore property prices will have to stabilise and possibly even come down. The boom in the property sector, therefore, was caused by unusually low interest rates. Impact of interest on mortgage lending Let’s consider the impact of interest on mortgage lending, using an example of a 20-year (240-month) mortgage loan on a R1 million property. Interest rate 9.5% Monthly repayment R 9,321.31 Total interest over the 20 years R 1,237,115.77 Increase in monthly repayment Increased interest paid over term Interest rate 10% R 9,650.22 R 1,316,050.00 R 328.91 R 78,934.23 If you pay the minimum monthly repayment of R9,321.31 for five years, you would have paid a total of R579,013, but you would have repaid just R100,000 of the R1 million loan, leaving you with R898,024 debt that must still be settled. That is the impact of interest. If the interest rate is raised from 9.5% to 10%, the monthly repayment will increase by R328.91 and over the 20-year term, you will pay an additional R78,934.23 in interest. However, you can use this to your advantage. For example, if you don’t wait for an interest rate increase and pay an additional R328,91 into your mortgage loan while the interest rate is at 9.5%, you will shorten your 240-month mortgage term to 218 months and save more than R130,000 in interest. Do the sums When buying a home and committing to a 20-year mortgage loan that is subject to fluctuating – and often crippling – interest rates, most people don’t do the sums. That is why between 10,000 and 30,000 South Africans are losing their homes every year. Forward-thinking and applying the principles of compound interest to your mortgage loan can turn your financial future around. A mortgage loan is one of the biggest loans you will take in your life. If you buy sensibly and apply compound interest principles from the beginning, it could save your property during difficult financial times and when interest rates inevitably rise from their current historic lows. Protect yourself by applying compound interest principles now. If the interest rate rises and you’re applying compound interest principles to your mortgage loan, you will benefit. In fact, with a little fancy foot work and very little out of your pocket, you can pay off your mortgage in as little as seven years. To find out how, visit www.mortgagerecovery.co.za and navigate to the MORTGAGE DEFLATOR. RESOURCES CAPINT 36 October 2014 SA Real Estate Investor www.reimag.co.za