Pennsylvania 2018 December 2018 | Page 18

OVERVIEW OF CLIMATE CHANGE Since pre-industrial times, car- bon dioxide concentrations have increased by 40% related to fossil fuel burning, changes in land use, and the release of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere (Stocker et al., 2015). Greenhouse gas emis- sions have continued to increase since the middle of the last cen- tury (EIA, 2018). The biggest im- pact on global warming is human activities, resulting in excess heat trapped by greenhouse gases. In 137 years of documented temper- atures, 2016 was the hottest year on record. However, 16 of the 17 hottest years on record occurred during the 21 st century (Thomp- son, 2017). Both the National Aeronautics and Space Adminis- tration (NASA) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Admin- istration (NOAA) have reported the same long-term projections for global warming. According to Climate Central (2016), the earth is getting hotter. If emissions continue as projected, Pennsylva- nia may be 5.4 degrees warmer in 2050 compared to the year 2000 (Shortle et al., 2015). As the largest solar collector on earth, the ocean traps the extra heat resulting from global warm- ing, absorbing more than 90% of the excess heat over the past 50 years (Barros & Field, 2014; Dahlman & Lindsey, 2018). This is significant because warmer ocean temperatures contribute to a rise in sea levels, increased intensity of storms, and dam- age to marine life eco-systems. A slow increase in sea levels is pushing saltwater into freshwater wetlands along the Gulf coast Issue 73, 2 2018 Pennsylvania Nurse 16 and eastern seaboard, which impacts local habitats and plant life. Coastal cities threatened by rising sea levels, especially along the east coast, would benefit from reduced greenhouse gas emissions (Hu & Bates, 2018). Global warm- ing affects hurricane and tropical storm activity, providing fuel for supercharged storms. Warmer oceans from the sun’s heat result in more evaporation into the atmosphere, leading to heavier downpours and increased flooding (NOAA, 2018). Melting ice caps at both poles have caused the sea levels to rise and resulted in larger storm surges. Heavy downpours are increasing in frequency. In Pennsylvania, extreme down- pours have increased 71% from 1958 to 2012 (Shortle et al., 2015). There is concern that extreme downpours in parts of the U.S. may increase by as much as 400% by the end of the century (NSF, 2016). In fact, summer 2018 had extraordinary amounts of rainfall and flooding in Pennsylvania. While warming affects the ocean temperatures, higher tempera- tures also impact water security on land. As soil is heated, more ground water evaporates into the atmosphere. Droughts have become more intense and 40% of the world now has some degree of water shortage (United Nations & World Bank, 2018). Conditions as- sociated with climate change are fuel for wildfires. The frequency and intensity of wildfires and, subsequently, the length of the wildfire season in the U.S. have increased since the 1970s (Ken- ward, Sanford, & Bronzan, 2016). Wildfires contribute to air pollu- tion and increased health risks for individuals with cardiovascular conditions. In addition, loss of life, property, and livelihood have short- and long-term implications for physical and emotional well- being. Climate change is not a political issue. Instead, it is referred to as a “threat multiplier” by the Penta- gon (The Hill, 2014) as it may ex- acerbate other threats to security, as explained by the Department of Defense. With higher tem- perature, changes in sea levels, and extreme weather events, the continuing issues of water scar- city and quality, hunger, poverty, lack of natural resources, infec- tious diseases, and violence will be more challenging to address and contribute to global instability. The impact of human-induced climate change on tempera- ture, precipitation, and extreme weather is driving the loss of bio-diversity (IPBES, 2018). Bio-diversity reflects the variety of life forms present on the earth. Unfortunately, bio-diversity is demonstrating a decline in every region of the world. This “alarm- ing trend endangers economies, livelihoods, food security, and the quality of life of people every- where” (IPBES, 2018, para.1). IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON HEALTH Global health has been impacted by increases in average tempera- ture and changes in precipitation, both of which impact food and water supplies, weather, and air quality. Figure 1 demonstrates examples of the impact of cli- mate change on human health on local, regional, or national scales. Although evidence on the cost of