New Water Policy and Practice Volume 1, Number 2 - Spring 2015 | Page 48

Water Disputes between Punjab and Sindh: A Challenge to Pakistan Why Water Disputes? W ater disputes among the provinces are a challenge to the federal government. They cannot be easily managed, and it is very difficult for states to take a side; yet the federal governments, across the world, are alleged for being bias toward one or the other units. In matured democracy, this biasness is based on the consideration of number of political representatives a province elects to the upper or lower house of a country or the weightage of the votes from the units. In non-democratic system, the reason for biasness is the support the leader draws from a unit, and the degree of authority people from an administrative unit has over the institutional machineries of the state. As Pakistan, over the decades, has witnessed both forms of governance, the administrative units have experienced favour or ignorance due to both circumstances. Primarily, Pakistan’s economy is based on agricultural activities, which contributes about 24 percent in its gross domestic product (GDP); about 48 percent of overall labour force is employed in this sector and; 70 percent of Pakistani exports depend on agricultural products (Ahmedani 2014). This has been possible because it has the largest contiguous irrigation system in the world, which provides the backbone to its agriculture-based economy (Ali 2009). This entire agriculture activity depends on two major river systems: rivers flowing into Arabian Sea and Endorheic river basin. The former comprises: Indus river basin, Lyari river, Hingol, Hub rivers, and later includes: Mashkal, Siastan basin, Indus plain, etc. Among all, it is river Indus which along with its tributaries forms Indus River System (IRS) , and is considered to be the “hydrological lifeline” of Pakistan. As river Indus flows across Pakistan, all provinces and federal administrative units want to use maximum quantity of its water for agriculture, industries, and domestic consumption. This leads to competition, tensions, and disputes among the provinces. Inter-state and also intra-state disputes over shared rivers are very complex, where many reasons are tenuously intertwined. In Pakistan, main reasons for the interprovincial water disputes are as follows. Water stress: The term water stress was developed by Mallin Falkenmark, who also developed Water Stress Index (WSI) (Falkenmark 1990). According to WSI, Pakistan is already water stressed country and by 2020 it will fall in a category of countries with acute water shortage. The per capita availability of water in Pakistan was 5,210 m3 in 1951, which reduced to 1,100 m3 in 2006 (http://www.wapda.gov. pk). In 2010, it was 1,038 m3 and is being projected to be around 877 m3 by 2020 (Xinhua 2010, also see PIDLAT 2011). Some global warming projections have estimated a decrease in the water availability in the IRS to a staggering 40 percent by the middle of present century, which if it were to happen would threaten the very survival of a population already swollen beyond sustainability (Ali 2009). Phenomenon of climate change: The dispute over water is not only due to water stress, but also because of release of more than the required water, and occurring 47