Multi-Unit Franchisee Magazine Issue II, 2013 | Page 80

ExitStrategies By Dean Zuccarello Unique Opportunity—Act Today! 2013 is the ideal time to refinance, remodel, buy, or sell W e are experiencing a rare alignment of stars in the franchise finance world right now, and it’s essential that operators act quickly to take advantage of this situation, before the party’s over. To understand the current financing environment, let’s take a look at the economic “big picture.” Macroeconomic framework Signals for overall economic recovery continue to be mixed. Households are deleveraging: the ratio of household debt service to income has reached a 30-year low. The housing market is on the rebound: inventory is down, prices are rising, and financing is cheap. Yet the latest figures show a negative GDP for the U.S. in the fourth quarter of 2012, and consumer confidence has begun to wane. Jobs reports seem to swing up and down. And as the Fed injects liquidity into the monetary system, the capital markets improve, creating a more favorable lending environment. Budget q uarrels in Washington, D.C., reached a short-term reprieve, but are looming once again. We expect battles over budget cuts and debt ceilings, taxes, sequestration, and Affordable Care Act implementation to continue over the next few years. Capital market observations The Fed continues to drive down interest rates by buying mortgage, asset, and Treasury securities. Lenders are expanding their underwriting criteria as improved balance sheets and competition spur lending activity. Interest rates are at 20-year lows. Junior capital is now widely available again. The number of senior lenders in the franchise space has increased dra- 78 Multi-Unit Franchisee Is s ue II, 2013 matically, with at least seven new national lenders vying for business. Private equity and family offices have a strong appetite for franchised operations, and have a lot of pent-up equity capital to deploy. One result created by this is an all-time high of new debt issued by companies. Rates are so low that every company is jumping on the debt-issuance bandwagon. In fact, at the beginning of 2013, the average yield for U.S. high-yield (aka “junk”) bonds was below 6 percent for the first time ever. Prices for bonds themselves, which move inversely with interest rates, are at historically high levels. It’s a great time to be a borrower, but not so much to be the ultimate bondholder. Opportunities So just what kinds of opportunities does this environment create for the franchise operator? Let’s address three: 1) Mergers, acquisitions, divestitures. The environment has created a perfect storm for transactions. We’ve mentioned the abundance of credit in the markets, and the new lenders creating competition. In addition, there are many motivated sellers, desirous to move on for any number of reasons: retirement, not wanting to weather another recession, concern over rising healthcare and commodity costs. And there are many motivated buyers: private equity, consolidation into mega-operator formats, and growth-focused operators looking to take advantage of low rates. 2) Refinancing. Similarly, there is an abundance of credit available today for refinancing. The same new lenders are building their businesses, and the established lenders are fighting back. Credit terms have eased, including rates, equity requirements, leverage ratios, prepayment penalties, and elimination of certain covenants. Financing is also more readily available for remodel and reimaging projects, new unit construction, and rebranding of closed units. 3) Dividend recapitalizations. Finally, there is more credit available for dividend recapitalizations. Performing companies with debt capacity are able to refinance and monetize equity. By making a payment to shareholders, companies can allow shareholders to realize value without selling any of their stake. Action plan So, what’s the takeaway? Simple: it’s time to act. We are currently in one of the most favorable debt financing environments in recent history. For sellers, valuation multiples are strong, pent-up equity is waiting to be deployed, buyers are looking to grow and build empires, and there is an abundance of financing. For buyers, there are many sellers on the market, franchisors are selling company stores, equity partners are available for the right operators, and there is abundant financing. But this won’t last forever! While we expect this favorable environment to be in place most of 2013, it will not last. Now is the time to create and execute on your action plan. Depending on your strategy, consider the following: • Growth strategy. If you are focused on growth, put yourself in a position to acquire bolt-on acquisitions, such as re-