Military Review English Edition November-December 2014 | Page 16

A Merkava IIID Baz tank fires a round during a training day held in the Golan Heights for the 188th Armored Brigade, Israel Defense Forces, 20 March 2008. The goal of the day was to test the level of the brigade’s combat fitness. (Photo by Israeli Defense Forces film unit) Armor versus Air Power However, irrespective of its effectiveness in such collateral roles, countering enemy armor formations remains the key role of the Abrams for several reasons. Though air power has made great gains in its lethality versus armor, as shown in both Gulf Wars, it has clear limits. Consequently, any future overreliance on airpower alone to counter enemy armor will create a perilous single point of failure in U.S. military capabilities. Although there certainly will be cases when airpower is the best option for dealing with enemy armor, there are too many variables to rely on airpower as the only option available. For example, what if some future opponent were able to challenge U.S. control of the air for just a few critical days at the beginning of a conflict? Such occurred when the Israelis paid a heavy cost for their dependency on air power in the early stages of the 1973 Yom Kippur War, when the effectiveness of Egypt’s air defenses came as a surprise and temporarily neutralized Israeli air superiority.10 Elsewhere, the forests and weather of Kosovo, along with strict rules of engagement, made allied targeting of Serbian armor from the air ineffective. NATO estimated that in three weeks of airstrikes, only about a dozen tanks had been destroyed.11 While many of the air-delivered precision weapons available today are billed as all-weather, adverse weather still causes problems with their employment, which requires greater understanding and anticipation 14 of collateral damage risks associated with targeting. Additionally, attacking armor dispersed in an urban environment often involves highly restrictive rules of engagement and other targeting challenges to preclude unnecessary civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure. Add to the equation the impact of advanced man-portable air defenses, such as the SA-24 that confronted NATO aircraft in Libya in 2011, and we then have a situation where manned aircraft are forced to fly higher while lower-flying armed drones are more vulnerable—all of which degrades the ability to target and deliver payloads accurately against not only armor but other targets. Consequently, an air-only threat to an enemy will not always be a viable option. In contrast, the availability of heavy armor capable of counter-armor operations provides to friendly planners much greater flexibility and a wide span of options for tailoring operations—simultaneously confronting adversaries with the problem of trying to react speedily and effectively to whatever course of action we might choose. Historical Examples The high-speed nature of mechanized combat operations leaves little time for defenders to adapt to the unexpected.12 In 1940, the French were well behind the Germans in recognizing or preparing for the potential of mechanized forces. One consequence was that it November-December 2014  MILITARY REVIEW