Military Review English Edition March-April 2015 | Page 115

ANBAR AWAKENING The United States helped locals regain or consolidate their social, religious, and economic roles that had been lost to foreign AQI leaders and AQI’s co-opted Iraqi tribal elements. In Iraq, AQI gave too much power to non-local leaders and waged a distracting war between its local affiliates and their fellow Iraqis. The contest between al-Qaida and the locals was also one between al-Qaida’s religious authority and tribal authority. Whereas al-Qaida propagated the view that authority served the ummah, or community of Islamic believers, the tribal system was inherently local, inward-looking, and exclusive. The leaders of the Awakening, even though some of them were quite religious in their personal lives, had a lot to lose from al-Qaida’s brand of religious authority. Additionally, most of “al-Qaida in Iraq” was not really al-Qaida. Actual al-Qaida leaders directly affiliated with Osama bin Laden were rare in Anbar. For example, in late 2004, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi’s network declared allegiance to al-Qaida and be came what the West called AQI. However, it was basically a loosely affiliated franchise enterprise of al-Qaida that frequently defied direction provided by actual al-Qaida leaders. Al-Qaida leaders, mostly foreigners who did little fighting themselves, attempted to co-opt the population by integrating through alliances with local clans and tribes. The rank-and-file AQI therefore had little engagement with greater al-Qaida outside of Iraq. As a result, the paradigm of “tribes vs. AQI” was more accurately understood as “tribe vs. AQaligned rival tribe.”17 This mattered in the Awakening because it caused al-Qaida to become a major sponsor of Iraqon-Iraq violence. Consequently, AQI brutality, loss of Muslim lives, and a senior leadership composed of foreigners provided an opportunity for the U.S.-led coalition to frame AQI as a hostile imposition on the Anbar people. When the AQI-led Mujahidin Shura Council declared the creation of the Islamic State of Iraq (ISI) in October 2006, it was an act of desperation—an attempt to put an Iraqi face on AQI in the wake of the emergence of a popular movement, the Awakening, that was by then outmaneuvering AQI.18 To deflect assertions that AQI was a foreign-backed movement, AQI assigned an Iraqi, Abu Umar al-Baghdadi, as the leader of ISI. However, he maintained a low profile and MILITARY REVIEW  March-April 2015 withheld his identity from most of AQI, a spurious basis for leadership. Because there was not one “insurgency” in Anbar, prevailing counterinsurgency thought was a poor fit. Many assumptions of counterinsurgency thought—even if they appreciate flexibility and avoid strict doctrine—were a poor fit for Anbar. One was the assumption implicit in most counterinsurgency thought that the various actors—whether those inside the country or those giving support from the outside— ultimately fell into one of two sides: the insurgency or the counterinsurgency. Trying to analyze the insurgency in Anbar this way was like analyzing a boxing match while paying no heed to a third boxer in the ring. In Anbar, there were three sides. The first was the U.S.led counterinsurgency. The second was the indigenous Iraqi resistance that resented the war and attempted occupation by both the U.S.-led coalition and so-called AQI. The third was AQI and its local affiliates, whose designs on power made them ultimately appear to be a greater threat to the Anbar population than the United States was. This opened up the opportunity to assert publicly that a solution was only possible with the understanding—among both the resistance and the United States—that the resistance had more to lose from AQI than from the United States. A second assumption was that the counterinsurgent must separate the insurgents from the population. This proved illusory in Anbar when most of the population also supported the anti-coalition insurgency at some level and in some form. When Anbaris used words like patriotism and nationalism, it was not in reference to their identification with, or support for, the central government of Iraq but in reference to loyalties behind opposition to it. A third assumption was the need to market state instruments as superior to what the insurgency can offer. In Anbar, instead of marketing state services to appeal to the people, and instead of trying to court local leaders to participate in the Iraqi government through various state-provided incentives, success came in spite of Iraqi state institutions and the services they provided. Thus, the United States had to come to terms with the fundamental illegitimacy of the government of Iraq in the eyes of most Anbaris. By running extra-government militias and transitioning them into the Iraqi Security Forces, and by staging the recruitment of 113