Military Review English Edition July-August 2016 | Page 85

VERDUN created serious difficulties. While keeping his intentions to himself was clearly a successful approach to military deception, in the operation itself the German army remained focused on the capture of Verdun as an end, not a means. Rather than fall back to more desirable defensive positions at either the rear slopes surrounding the city or the hills around Fort Douaumont, the German forces remained exposed on the plains and slopes in front of Verdun. Irrespective of setbacks, the assault continued, even as it failed to it was expected to snap. Thus, even the most strenuous act of resistance might be the “last gasp” that preceded mass surrenders, troop rebellions, popular revolts, and a willingness by the national leadership to come to terms rather than accept further punishment. (This, incidentally, was the pattern observed in the final days of the German army in 1918, which launched a massive breakthrough offensive led by Falkenhayn’s successor before collapsing, just as Falkenhayn predicted.) In the absence of the ability to observe the state of the enemy’s resolve, German analysts were forced to focus on the observable mechanism that preceded it—in this case, the destruction of enemy forces. Unfortunately, both the Germans and the French tended to overestimate the level of casualties they were inflicting.16 As a result, both sides believed that the military effect was greater, the enemy residual (Photo courtesy of Vikidia) military capabilTransport vehicles were on the move day and night ferrying troops, armaments, and supplies to the Verdun ity much lower, battlefield after March 1916 along the forty-five miles of the Voie Sacrée, or Sacred Way. and capitulation achieve Falkenhayn’s true ends—creating a favorable favorable to the desired political outcome much closer loss ratio with French forces that would cause the than it actually was. collapse of French will while preserving the German Eventually, the German army was too attrited to ability to continue operations. These ends could be maintain its position at Verdun and was forced back achieved either by blunting French counterattacks at into the hills north of Fort Douaumont. Elsewhere, the Verdun or by inducing them elsewhere; they could not Entente mounted offensives of their own, including an be achieved by costly assaults from exposed positions attack at the Somme, which should have been imposby German forces.15 sible had the French forces been as near to collapse as Another challenge created by Falkenhayn’s theory Falkenhayn had predicted. In addition, the Russian of warfare was that the process that translated military army had recovered from the previous year’s losses and effects on enemy forces into supposed evidence of enewas advancing against Germany’s Austro-Hungarian my capitulation that were difficult to observe. The enallies. Consequently, the Kaiser replaced Falkenhayn, emy’s will was not expected to slowly and visibly bend; who was unable to show results from the enormous MILITARY REVIEW  July-August 2016 83