Military Review English Edition July-August 2015 | Page 100

1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 go ld up ho ick e se ) p hicl ou G H HH d ve up ( on ick ec e p g ll s Se gga Ba ey r d ol te kts fo H a eg en ry on gr m ar cti e g Se cu c e do and insp gga h eba pr ld G ho H H ate eg gr Se 1 5 4 7 6 8 1 2 3 ha rc ier Pu arr c o sp as r so on l ica ed m up s ck rd Pi eco ol r ho sc up s ck rd Pi co ge s re r ua ng r be la fo em sic ns m Ba sso ly le ami s f rt tp Ge p ts ac nt Co ers rd to Ge FO tR Ge 4 d or il ut o rh ea or Cl qu s l li d al ui ay r liq aw he ve ot Gi d an es iti el nc Ca l nd la ve ce Gi oti n 1 2 3 July-August 2015  MILITARY REVIEW m fa quo. A rogue actor may target the Smith family and disrupt all of their coordination. Fierce competition for move resources may cancel all actions related to the Smith move. Constant friction by multiple sources involved in the move may slow and disrupt the move. Finally, a catastrophic weather or environmental event may defeat the move. The most likely way of maintaining a state of inertia comes from applying constant friction to the move. Thus, applying friction to the move is the critical capability. Looking at the possible sources of this constant friction, we might consider weather, distressed family members, or apathetic agency workers. While all of these may apply, the resource that most directly performs the critical capability of 4 sit Vi t un il a co ac d m pe ar ky rw tS fo Ge to e ng ra Ar s d es an dr ily ad m w fa ne ise of pr ds Aprien f 98 PHASE II Clear Kansas PHASE I Notification ith w n te io up na at ck di r t pi or spo G Co ran HH t or f determine the resources or means that are available to perform this most important critical capability. The resource that most directly performs this critical capability is the COG. Thus, the critical capability is a verb describing the way to accomplish the overarching goal, while the COG is a noun and the thing that performs the critical capability. The resources or requirements that the COG requires in order to perform the critical capability are the critical requirements. Critical vulnerabilities are those critical requirements that are susceptible to attack. This method can be used to determine both a friendly and enemy COG. Let us look back at the Smith family PCS example and determine the COGs of both the Smith family and the environment. First, we look at the best way (critical capability) that each can accomplish its end state, and then we determine which resource within their respective systems is the source of this action. The source of action that most directly performs the critical capability is the COG. There are several ways that the Smith family can accomplish its goal of moving the family members and property from Kansas to Germany. A friend with a power of attorney could arrange all aspects of the move. Or, the Smith family could simply hope that agency representatives take the initiative to coordinate the actions of the move. However, the most likely way to accomplish this move is for the Smith family to personally coordinate all move events. Coordinating all move events is the critical capability. If this is the most likely way to do this, which element of the Smith family will perform this critical capability of coordinating the move events? Considering Maj. Smith, Mrs. Smith, the children, and the dog are the resources within the Smith family, Maj. Smith is the resource that will most directly perform the critical capability of coordinating the move. Thus, Maj. Smith is the friendly center of gravity. Now we look at the resources Maj. Smith requires in order to coordinate the move. Some of these might be PCS orders, out-processing time, personal transportation, and access to communications. These are critical requirements. Any of these that are vulnerable to attack could be critical vulnerabilities. Perhaps inadequate lead time is a key factor and thus a critical vulnerability. When looking at the opposing actor, the environment, we must look at ways that the environment will attempt to accomplish its goal of maintaining the status