Military Review English Edition January-February 2017 | Page 27

DELIBERATE WAR PLANNING Producing Strategic Value through Deliberate War Planning Lt. Col. Jim Cahill, U.S. Army T he U.S. military invests sizable resources in deliberate war planning to prepare for future operations in defined crisis conditions. However, the actual value of current deliberate war planning to military readiness and future combat performance is questionable. This article starts with a brief assessment of the modern U.S. war planning system, then addresses two factors that would enable the deliberate war planning community to deliver greater strategic value. The first factor, oriented toward prospective planners, is promoting awareness of tensions in both bureaucratic politics and civil–military relations that pervade the process and influence the outcomes. Failure to understand and respect the power of these two tensions equates to letting them become the dominant forces in deliberate war planning to the detriment of any operational or strategic value planning is supposed to provide. The second factor is the construction of a theoretical framework to understand the actual and potential value added by deliberate war planning. This theoretical framework consists of seven dimensions of planning utility that are sorely needed to counteract the bureaucratic politics and civil–military relations tensions that currently pervade the process and curb its effectiveness. The potential advantage of these planning factors is that they can be applied empirically to gauge the value of a given deliberate planning effort. This is not the first attempt to undertake empirical research on war planning.1 The new contribution Lt. Col. Jim Cahill, U.S. sought here is greater unArmy, is a military advisor derstanding of the utility at the U.S. Department of of the activity. Such an State and a PhD student at understanding could set George Mason University’s conditions for increasing Schar School of Policy and effectiveness in future Government. He holds a practice. Based on the master’s degree in internapresumption that delibertional public policy from ate war planning positively Johns Hopkins University influences the manner in School of Advanced which the United States International Studies and a applies military force, BS from the University of this matter is vital to U.S. Minnesota. His previous national security. assignments include re- Soldiers from the 329th Regional Support Group, based in Virginia Beach, Virginia, team up with soldiers from the 1030th Transportation Battalion from Gate City, Virginia, 13 November 2010 to rehearse for a staff exercise during their annual training at Camp Dodge, Iowa. The soldiers focused on improving military decision-making processes, improving communication from group to battalion level, and setting conditions for better future operations during the annual twoweek training period. (Photo by Staff Sgt. Andrew H. Owen, Virginia National Guard PAO) search fellow at the RAND Arroyo Center; joint plans officer at U.S. European Command’s J5 Contingency Planning Division; special assistant to the Chief of Staff of the Army; and strategic planner at Headquarters, Department of the Army, G-3/5/7 War Plans Division. MILITARY REVIEW  January-February 2017 The Modern U.S. War Planning System The United States is the only country in the world that currently professes to “underwrite international security … uphold our commitments to allies 25