MAL 19/17 (MARKETING AFRICA) | Page 14

their stocking to include high end household itemss like furniture, fridges and cookers. They were the first to introduce loyalty reward points and signed too several agreements with leading banks to enhance digital shopping and payment on the go. Indeed, at the peak of their innovation and success, Nakumatt came up with their own label - the blue label another first in the region to promote and package their own brands. Not to mention that they too were the pioneer of the 24 hour shopping in Kenya! At its peak, Nakumatt had the highest spend per basket averaging Kenya Shillings 1,100/= followed by Tuskys at around Kenya Shillings 600 per basket and Naivas way below at around Kenya Shillings 500 per basket. Until reality dawned on us and what started as a rumor morphed into an ugly reality. Things started falling apart. Customers were greeted with empt y shelves followed by loud murmurs from suppliers and staff over delayed payments and salaries. Not long after, auctioneers descended on their branches seeking monumental rent arrears both in Kenya and Uganda. It was soon revealed that Nakumatt was reeling under the weight of debts in excess of Kenya Shillings 30 billion, with 15 billion owed to suppliers, 8 billion to banks and a seven billion Commercial paper. This mountain debt against thinning revenues is a sure recipe for disaster. In a letter to the ministry of industrialization, Nakumatt largely blamed natural calamities and incidences beyond their control as the main reason to this decline. They accused the fires that razed their branches, the disagreement with NSSF over the ongoing construction at their lifestyle branch that sent away shoppers/tenants and the Westgate terrorists attack and subsequent looting. Also to blame was the Thika Road branch demolition to pave way for the 12 MAL 19/17 ISSUE ‘‘Yes, several supermarkets have come up in the estates but most of them are Mom and Pop shops with no brand equity or established infrastructure. It is far fetched to imagine that these nondescripts outlets can bring down the established brands.’’ superhighway and the mad cow scare that condemned a huge chunk of their meat consignment to waste. On a closer look, one discovers that it’s not only Nakumatt that is feeling the heat in the retail sector in Kenya. A number of retailers have closed shop in the period from 2013 to date. Latest records from the Association of Suppliers in Kenya also indicate that the industry is reeling under the weight of unpaid supplier’s dues amounting to well over Kenya Shillings 48 billion. Nakumatt’s portion of this huge outstanding debt is only 15 billion leaving a whooping 33 billion with the other supermarkets, a confirmation that all is not well in the whole retail sector. Lightness of a beginner Its noteworthy that it’s only the old establishments in the retail sector - Uchumi, Nakumatt, and Ukwala that are showing signs of extreme financial distress while their younger siblings appear on the face of it to be doing just fine. This could be deceptive. The fact of the matter is that the young operators could just be enjoying the lightness of a beginner. They too have their challenges albeit in smaller proportions. Possible technological disruption Arguments have been fronted elsewhere that the established supermarkets could be victims of market disruption. Proponents believe that shopping is going online and there is no longer need for huge shopping floors manned by several attendants while shopping is just a click away. While this sounds romantically intelligent, I highly doubt that Kenya’s online shopping statistics are significant enough to dent the market share of leading supermarkets. How many Kenyans for example have bought anything online leave alone the usual groceries? This is an elitist opinion that erroneously ranks our third world market to those of the first world. It is significant to note too that even in the very first world where online shopping started and has has taken root, traditional supermarkets are still on the growth trajectory. Little wonder then that the leading online shop - Amazon just recently opened their first physical store and are posting significant visits. Shopping may go online but the shopper remains the same human being bearing the five senses of sight, feel, taste, smell and hearing. Other than seeing, one can rarely taste, smell or feel an item on sale online. Moreover, the internet connectivity and smart phone accessibility is still too low in Africa to warrant a substantive disruption thus far. Local competition This is usually the fall back counter argument. The big supermarkets are victims of small operators nibbling on their market share at the estate level, so goes the story. While this may hold