LiQUiFY Magazine December 2014 | Page 80

beds (known dugong feeding habitat) on the east of the island. There are plans to build boardwalks through the highly sensitive bird roosting site just south of the island, and the influx of dredging, boating and shipping traffic will inundate the area with discharge, noise, emissions, ballast water that often contains invasive or harmful foreign organisms, sulphur-laden ship fumes and much more. Once you study similar ports around the world, and add up the inevitable outcomes of this proposal, the environment and ecology here doesn’t stand a chance. THE SHIPS The latest claim is that ships as big as they make them can safely come in and out to Wavebreak Island - but again the public are not allowed to scrutinise the simulations, instead told to accept them. There have been two previous studies done using the world’s best simulation equipment, and both of those studies (each of which were far more extensive than the latest ASF/ AECOM one) exposed serious flaws in the concept, with many failed runs, or runs conducted in near impossible scenarios that omit critical weather statistics known to be common here. The last report from council had the operators essentially predict that if you have no north, northwest or northeast winds at all, a smooth slow and single speed current, a single direction continuous small swell with no sets or pulses, no seas, and no gusts, you can actually navigate a small proportion of the world’s fleet into the seaway - that’s not to say that it still wasn’t ridiculously risky anyway. Conditions like this have never occurred at the seaway, ever. The theme has so far been to underscore the data used and to ignore serious and known weather and environmental factors such as gusts, summer northerlies, swell peaks, seas and the volatile two-speed current inside the seaway. It seems for them it’s best to do a small amount of runs which might boost the chances of attaining some kind of success from the simulators. Sadly this is not a video game, and there are no cheat codes for Mother Nature. This is a narrow entrance that is exposed to the full force of the Pacific Ocean. Once dredged, it will become a swell and tidal current funnel, exposed to all elements of the weather - making safe, regular and profitable schedules an impossibility for cruise companies. Insurance companies and underwriters are on edge after the Costa Concordia tragedy, and have put cruise companies on notice, reminding them that foolish operation of billion dollar ships near shallow and dangerous crossings will not be covered - perhaps revealing why Carnival have made Brisbane their ‘preferred’ new destination and NOT the Gold Coast.