LIMOUSIN TODAY December 2017 - January 2018 | Page 18

Performance Line Migration of the BOLT System By Tonya Amen, National Center for Beef Excellence For the last couple of years, the eventual migration of the North American Limousin National Cattle Evaluation to the BOLT system has been a much-discussed topic. This month, I’m happy to share some information with you regarding progress that has been made in this migration. By way of review, what is BOLT? Biometry Open Language Tools (BOLT) is a software program developed to allow for the complex computations that it must take in order to carry out today’s genomically enhanced national cattle evaluations in the most efficient and precise manner available. Most simply stated, it is a new, more streamlined method for incorporating genomic results into your EPDs. Over the last few weeks, NALF staff and genetic consultants have had the chance to review BOLT results for calving ease and growth traits and to compare them to what you currently see when you look up EPDs for NALF-registered animals and I’d like to give you a preview of what we’ve observed so far. • Some re-ranking: In general, the correlations between the 16 | DECEMBER 2017 - JANUARY 2018 current EPDs and the new BOLT EPDs are high, but they are not 1.0, which means there will be some re-ranking. This happens any time you add data or change methodologies in an evaluation, migration to BOLT will not be an exception. This certainly doesn’t minimize the sting for those impacted, but the goal is to continually strive for more precise genetic evaluations that allow you and your customers to make better selection and mating decisions and moving to the BOLT software is certainly a major step in that direction. • Limited-to-moderate change in EPDs: The average change in EPDs for mid-to-high accuracy animals is low, but there are some individuals who will move substantially, especially those in the tails of the bell curve. Like in any case where information is added that gives us a picture of an animal’s genetic worth as a parent (performance data, progeny information, or a genomic test, for example), low accuracy animals stand the chance to move the most. • Accuracy: In general, accuracy values will drop (especially on younger animals). Mathematically and computationally, calculating accuracy is actually more difficult and more complex than EPD computation, so historically, software used in evaluations had to approximate accuracy. However, modern computing power has increased to the point that modern software programs calculate accuracy directly, and thus more precisely. The good news is that direct calculation of accuracy will better reflect possible change, so we likely won’t see surprises that have occurred occasionally in the past when animals’ EPDs moved more than their possible change indicated they should. • More value for your genomic investment: BOLT uses a method called the Marker Effects Model, which is a fancy way to say that it gets more information out of the genomic markers for animals who have been tested. This is better than other software programs available and is a significant improvement over the “blending” method of genomic results-incorporation currently being used in NALF EPDs. Our current “blending” methodology uses an approximation of the marker effects, but BOLT uses all of the data available on animals (pedigree, performance,