Journal of Rehabilitation Medicine 51-1CompleteIssue | Page 7

4 J. Oosterhaven et al. Table I. Risk of bias due to various factors, and total score study quality (23) Study Study participation Study attrition Prognostic factor Outcome measurement measurement Study confounding Statistical analysis Study quality and reporting total score Howard et al. 2009 (24) Bendix et al. 1998 (27) Biller et al. 2000 (28) Carosella et al. 1994 (29) Coughlan et al. 1995 (30) Kvaal et al. 1999 (31) Sloots et al. 2009 (32) Richmond & Carmody 1999 (33) Low Low Low Low Low Moderate Low Moderate Moderate High High Moderate Low High Low High Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate High Moderate High High High High High High High High Low Low Low High High High Moderate Low The reviewers familiarized themselves with the QUIPS through a test session involving 2 excluded studies, before judging the included studies. All ratings were entered into a spreadsheet. Any difference between the 2 reviewers was resolved through discussion and, if needed, a third reviewer was consulted to reach consensus (WD). An overall score of the study quality was based on the recommendations of Hayden and colleagues (23). For each domain the risk of bias was classified as high, moderate or low. Studies were considered of high quality if in all 6 domains a low risk of bias was found and these studies were labelled as an overall low risk of bias study (23). Data-extraction, data-analyses and data-synthesis Several steps were taken to extract and synthesize the data from the included studies, all steps independently by 2 reviewers (JO, HW), followed through a discussion, if needed a third reviewer was consulted to reach consensus (WD). In step 1, an extraction manual was designed to facilitate the data-collection process. The following information was extracted from the included studies: (i) general information: authors, journal, publication date, country, language; (ii) research design: retrospective-or prospective cohort study or RCT; (iii) research population; (iv) analytical approach: univariate analyses using a variety of methods (for example χ 2 tests, independent t tests and univariate logistic regression analyses) and multiple logistic regression analyses; (v) all possible factors associated with dropout in univariate analyses and multiple logistic regression analyses with statistical significance and strength of the associations, number of studies that examined the associations. In step 2 the factors were grouped into 5 domains of Meichenbaum & Turk (14). For each domain the presence of associations and the direction of the associations of predictors and dropout was determined in univariate analyses and multiple logistic regression analyses (Tables II, III, and Table S2 1 and Table S3 1 ). For data-synthesis in systematic reviews of studies on out- come prediction models there is still no clear methodological procedure for pooling the data. The heterogeneity of the study populations, study interventions, predictors, statistical analyses and statistical reporting and the fact that most predictors were only investigated in one study (24), did not support applying a best-evidence synthesis (25, 26). Therefore, in step 3, only potential predictors from univariate analyses and multiple lo- gistic regression analyses that were judged in at least 2 studies were described in the results. To summarize the results for a predictor that was investigated in more than 1 study the term: (i) “significant” was assigned if ≥ 75% of the studies showed significant results; (ii) “non-significant” was assigned if ≥ 75% of the studies showed non-significant results; (iii) “conflicting results” was assigned if the rule of ≥ 75% studies showing significant or non-significant could not be applied, or if oppo- site directions of the association were found in studies (e.g., if www.medicaljournals.se/jrm Moderate Moderate Low Low High Low Moderate Moderate Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Low dropout was associated with higher pain intensity in one study and with lower pain intensity in another study) (26). RESULTS Study selection The initial search identified a total of 1,954 studies. One additional study was added through screening re- ference lists (Fig. 1). Without the 555 duplicates, 1,400 studies remained for screening on title and abstract. A total of 32 articles were considered for inclusion, but after full-text screening, only 8 studies were selected for the review. The main reason for exclusion was study design, such as cohort studies with only analyses on differences between completers and dropouts at ba- seline without prospective or retrospective follow-up and without univariate- or multiple logistic regression analyses of factors that might be predictors for dropout. Two studies were excluded due to the absence of an interdisciplinary approach in the intervention or on the grounds that the intervention under study was an online programme. Study characteristics The 8 included studies were conducted between 1994 and 2009. Three studies took place in Europe and 5 studies in the USA. Table S1 1 provides an overview of the studies included in this review. Most studies focused in their main research objective on detecting predictors of dropout in chronic pain management programmes, 3 studies had a prospective cohort design (24, 27, 28), 4 a retrospective cohort design (29–32) and 1 randomized clinical trial (RCT) with a retrospec- tive secondary analysis on dropout (33). Interventions Seven studies described outpatient chronic pain mana- gement programmes with an interdisciplinary approach (27, 29, 31–33). Three of these studies were outpatient programmes with a focus on return to work, known as functional restoration programmes (24, 27, 29). One study investigated an inpatient programme with an interdisciplinary approach in the UK (30).