2017 International Forest Industries Magazines June July 2017 | Page 8
ISSUE 57 JUNE / JULY 2017
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Editorial Director
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Editor
Chris Cann
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Editorial Board
Dr Patrick Moore – Chairman and Chief
Scientist of Greenspirit (Canada)
Darren Oldham – Managing Director
Söderhamn Eriksson (UK)
Professor Piotr Paschalis-Jakubowicz –
Warsaw Agricultural University (Poland)
Mr Kim Carstensen
Director General
Forest Stewardship Council
Eduardo Morales
South American Forestry Consultant
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4 International Forest Industries | JUNE / JULY 2017
EDITOR’S COMMENT
Risky business
T
he world today feels like a more risky –
or at least more volatile – place than at
any point in living memory for many in
the forestry sector.
At the macro level, business is faced with a
Donald Trump-led US, international terrorism,
Brexit and the potential disintegration of the
European Union, and, most recently, the very
real threat of nuclear war breaking out from
the Korean Peninsula.
These headlining concerns have created great
uncertainty over the prospects for global
economic progress, which of course drives
demand for raw materials, including the most
fundamental building material, wood.
Against this backdrop, business leaders are
grappling with volatility across a number of
fiscal metrics that all need to be considered in
business planning.
For forestry professionals operating in
international markets, this is largely about the
fact much of the product being sold is done so
in US dollars, but the cost of producing that
material is paid in local currency.
Granted, this can work for or against a
business depending on which way foreign
exchange rates move, but the point is, it
makes forecasting and preparing a business
for all eventualities extremely difficult.
A Donald Trump tweet and a nuclear test out
of North Korea around the same time as a
large roundwood deal can potentially be the
difference between a profitable and loss-
making month, if not quarter.
Most stakeholders International Forest
Industries speaks to do not feel the risk
environment will improve significantly
even if the global economy shows signs of
more stable growth. Put simply, businesses
exposed to international economics and
politics are likely to suffer from heightened
volatility for as far out into the future as
anyone dare predict.
This poses a challenge for decision makers at
the head of forestry businesses.
The ability to identify, acknowledge and
manage risks is today paramount for the
successful running of any raw materials
supplier or wood processing business of
scale. It follows that technical competencies,
though clearly fundamental in forestry, are
being challenged in some respects by the
need for better risk management skills, which
have become an increasingly important
attribute for executives and operational
teams.
Risk management is arguably, with the
exception of substitution and disruptive
technologies, the most important issue facing
forestry at the moment and everything points
to risk continuing to be a major challenge for
the industry in years to come.
This being the case, it is surprising that the
major forestry shows currently taking place
across the world fail to address the risk
management aspect of our industry.
Sure, these shows are primary technical
gatherings used to sell equipment on
the spot and fill order books to secure a
pipeline of work, but most of them also carry
an educational programme with sideline
presentations and lectures.
These presentations continue to focus on
technical achievements and aspirations,
which definitely shape individual businesses
and will shape the future of forestry in
general. But they could do more to highlight
key issues that are already in play and effect
the livelihoods of forestry practitioners today.
We would not suggest a separate event or
even series of talks devoted to the topic of
risk management but a keynote address
on one day of just one event might at least
open the door to a discussion that will be a
much larger part of our working lives in an
increasingly risky business world.
Enjoy
Chris Cann