International Focus Magazine Vol. 3, #10 | Page 40

policy After Tumultuous Midterm Cycle, Strong Signals for Internationalist Congress November 2018 Liz Schrayer USGLC is President and CEO of the U.S. Global Leadership Coalition 1. Foreign Policy Not a Driver, But Still Matters BY THE NUMBERS. Foreign policy rarely drives voter priorities in midterm elections, and this cycle was no differ- ent with less than 1 in 5 voters citing “foreign policy” or “terrorism” as one of their most important issues. This con- trasts against the 2016 presidential cycle, when exit polls found that foreign policy was either “extremely” or “very” impor- tant to 4 out of 5 voters. CAMPAIGN ADS. While hot button international issues – including increas- ing competition with China, trade, and tensions with North Korea, Iran, and Russia – certainly made headlines over the past year, these issues rarely took cen- ter stage on the campaign trail. An analysis by the USGLC of television campaign ads through the end of Octo- ber 2018 found that only 2% of more than 2.3 million ad runs had an “interna- tional affairs” theme. 40 iF Magazine | November 2018 FOREIGN POLICY MATTERS. Voters rated health care and the econ- omy as their top issues. An exception in the closing weeks of the race on foreign policy was the heightened attention to the caravan from Central America along with calls for nationalism. Yet despite the prioritization of the do- mestic agenda, voter sentiment about America’s global engagement remained extremely high. In a recent survey by the Chicago Council of Global Affairs, 70% of Americans want the U.S. to play an “active role” in the world, the highest level since 1974, with the exception of immediately after the 9/11 attacks. 2. Candidates Embrace U.S. Global Engagement STRONG INSTINCTS. In the more than 300 face-to-face meetings that US- GLC leaders held with House and Sen- ate candidates and their senior campaign advisors in some of the most competi- tive races across the country, candidates showed no signs of isolationism – even in an election defined by domestic issues and in an “America First” era. Instead, candidates displayed strong in- stincts that America must be engaged on the global stage. One Senate candidate from a traditional red state opened our meeting stating, “I am not an isolation- ist!” Another Senate candidate said, “I haven’t traveled very much, only to 48 countries.” BLANK SLATE. While several in- coming members of the House have strong foreign policy experience – as veterans or with former government service – most candidates showed up to our meetings with limited foreign policy experience and expertise. However, they consistently arrived highly eager to learn and engage – taking time from the cam- paign trail to discuss foreign policy. In meeting after meeting with local busi- ness, veteran, faith and community lead- ers, the return on investment for global engagement for their state and district resonated with candidates – and they were keen to learn more specifics. Indicative of the meetings, one Senate candidate in a tight race said, “I couldn’t agree more with your positions. It is bet- ter to spend resources upfront and save