International Dealer News IDN 147 February/March 2019 | Page 6

STAT ZONE
<<< Continued from cover
EU motorcycle registrations 2010-2018
+13.27%
1,009,678
1,014,775
1,000,000
-8.98%
923,640
-10.99%
822,172
800,000
+9.89%
1,004,063
+7.29%
803,122
700,000
EU motorcycle registrations 2010-2018 -
adjusted for Euro 3/4 impact
+3.12%
1,004,063
1,014,775
1,000,000
-8.98%
923,640
+10.99%
891,369
900,000
-10.99%
822,172
800,000
+6.54%
949,678
+2.53%
973,723
+7.29%
803,122
-8.96%
748,529
700,000
Data source: ACEM
+51.46%
47,179
40,000
+109.93%
31,150
30,000
20,000
+15.69%
+42.28% 11,457
9,903
+29.51%
14,838
-24.54%
6,960
+1.99%
9,223
-9.50%
913,723
-8.96%
748,529
50,000
9,043
+10.99%
891,369
900,000
Combined EU 2011-2018
electric PTW registrations
10,000
Data source: ACEM
additional 50,000 to 65,000 new
motorcycles not appearing. A more
realistic market performance for 2017
would be in the region of +2.53%
growth at around 973,723 new units
‘sold’ (as opposed to registered)
instead of the 913,723 that ACEM’s
statistics had to report.
Similarly, a safer ‘guesstimate’ would
be that, in fact, 2018 ‘only’ saw
growth over 2017 of some 30,340
genuinely additional ‘new’ unit sales
[IDN # 141] for around +3.12%
growth.
This means that rather than +13.27%
growth in 2016 being followed by a
-9.50% decline in 2017 and +9.89%
growth in 2018, a more reliable
picture shows that since the market
bottomed out in 2013, growth of
+7.29% in 2014 and +10.99% in
2015 has slowed to +6.54% growth
in 2016, followed by +2.53% in 2017
and +3.12% for 2018.
The question being put by many
market observers and analysts is
whether or not the market is, in fact,
stalling? The growth curve is certainly
flattening out.
The 2018 ACEM registration statistics
also reflect the ongoing softening of
Europe’s moped market and have
shown the consequences of the one
year later Euro 3 to Euro 4 crossover
that took place at the end of 2017 and
first months of 2018.
Total moped registrations for EU
markets in 2018 are recorded as
273,645 units, down by -31.49%
(-125,775 units). France is the largest
market for mopeds, with 72,940 new
machines registered (-32.04%/
-34.382 units), followed by the
Netherlands at 58,969 units
(-32.08%/-27,857 units) and
Germany a distant third at 25,634
(-22.91%/-7,620 units).
Belgium is the fourth largest new
moped market (21,391 units),
followed by Italy (21,326 units),
Poland (16,410 units), Spain (16,073
units) and Austria (11,866 units); all
were down (-44.62% in the case of
Poland, at 13,223 units).
Total PTW registrations in EU markets
are put at 1,277,708 units (-2.70%)
for 2018, meaning the overall two-
wheeler market has grown by
+13.23% percent in the five years
since the 2013 low of 1,128,396 total
units.
In NEV (New Energy Vehicle) PTW
terms (E-Bikes etc), Europe was worth
47,179 new registrations in 2018, up
by +16,029 units (+51.46%) after
seeing growth of 16,312 units in
2017 (+109.93%) from the 14,838
registrations recorded in 2016. The
market for NEVs has grown from just
6,960 units in 2013.
Sweden 2018: total PTW registrations +7.06 percent
The latest data available from
the motorcycle industry trade
association in Sweden (McRF)
shows new motorcycle
registrations being down by -
10.83 percent in 2018 (at
10,279 units), but as elsewhere
6
in Europe, the picture is
distorted by regulatory changes,
Niklas Kristoffersson, CEO of
McRF, pointing out a small net
overall increase in the 36-month
2016-2018 period.
In moped terms similar issues
INTERNATIONAL DEALER NEWS - FEBRUARY/MARCH 2019
are clouding the picture in
Sweden, with Euro 3/Euro 4
transition happening 12 months
later for small displacement
machines than for motorcycles.
The official registration
statistics put moped
registrations at +22.71 percent
in Sweden for 2018 (16,165
units), with the total PTW count
+7.06 percent on 26,444 new
machines registered in total in
Sweden in 2018 – the highest
figure for several years.
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