Ingenieur Vol. 75 ingenieur July 2018-FA | Page 52

INGENIEUR periods). It is estimated that by 2025, grid-storage BESS could have a moderate economic impact of US$45 billion to US$70 billion annually, principally from frequency regulation and peak load shifting applications. Frequency Regulation When generation and demand are out of balance, the system frequency deviates from its 50Hz set point. Significant demand increases cause system frequency to drop and voltage to sag. Similarly, frequency increases are caused by loss of demand. Conventional power plants such as gas or coal-fired provide their own frequency regulation – a constant flow - by setting aside a portion of generating capacity (typically 1 to 4%) that can be ramped up to regulate frequency. By committing to reserve a portion of capacity in this way, utilities limit their output, losing some production efficiency. Today, BESS are already competitive in the frequency regulation market where they are permitted by regulations which require reserve generating capacity to fulfil this role. BESS will become more competitive as prices decline. In this context, the potential economic impact of energy storage on frequency regulation for utilities worldwide can run into billions of dollars annually, assuming that BESS could replace all of the 4% of generation capacity set aside for frequency regulation by conventional plants. Peak Load Shifting To meet peak demand (when generation prices are highest), utilities can either build excess generation capacity or purchase electricity from other utilities or from specialised peak plant suppliers. Energy storage could save costs by enabling utilities to avoid purchasing electricity at peak prices, instead buying (or generating) it when it is least expensive, regardless of when it will be used. The ability to store energy for use at a later time is also useful for integrating energy from solar photovoltaic generation into the electricity supply grid, due to the variable nature of this resource. Implications BESS solution providers need to gain the support of utility company leaders to plan and commit BESS for grid utility applications as utilities tend to invest in 10-year development plan programmes. 6 50 VOL VOL 75 55 JULY-SEPTEMBER JUNE 2013 2018 They also need to demonstrate that BESS work seamlessly with existing grid infrastructure and renewable solar photovoltaic systems, potentially requiring partnerships with companies with core competencies in software, process control systems, and grid integration. To get utilities to be comfortable with newer BESS technology, companies may also want to consider co-investing in initial pilot projects. Utilities face both risks and opportunities due to advanced battery energy storage. While energy storage may help improve the quality, reliability and efficiency of their electricity supply, other uses could affect overall demand as in the case of accelerated adoption of electric and hybrid vehicles. Peak load demand could grow quite substantially if charging is unconstrained (that is, if most drivers come home after work and charge their vehicles when demand is highest). This could place new strain on peaking generation capacity, requiring new investment. Future policies or regulations on energy and electricity supply should include impact studies on energy storage technologies to determine whether there are incentives or disincentives for investment in grid storage and other relevant applications. The overall goal should be to ensure that energy storage is permitted to compete on an equal footing with other solutions. For example, grid-storage BESS should be allowed to compete with generation for frequency regulation and with peaking plants for peak load electricity supply. Introduction of renewable variable energy generation quotas (solar photovoltaics) could also promote investment in energy storage. It is envisaged that by 2025, the potential of energy storage for grid applications could become much more clearly defined in terms of advances in battery storage technology and cost. And, this market development will have longer-term potential (beyond 2025) to disrupt electricity generation and distribution. It is possible to envision a post-2025 scenario in which renewable solar photovoltaic generation, combined with cheap battery energy storage, and higher energy prices of conventional fossil- fuels for electricity production, could eventually lead to significantly increased adoption of locally- distributed solar photovoltaic power generation. Eventually, this could vastly alter the utility industry