INGENIEUR
Figure 2. ASEAN Total Primary Energy Supply under the BAU and in APS (ACE, 2015)
Energy Ministers also emphasised the important
role of private sector participation in enhancing
energy investments to support the AEC.
Under the Business as Usual (BAU) scenario,
ASEAN is expected to see its Total Primary Energy
Supply (TPES) increase from 619Mtoe in 2013
to approximately. 1,685Mtoe by 2035. This
corresponds to an average growth rate of 4.7%
per annum. In the Advancing Policy Scenario (APS)
which takes into account the progressive policies
and action plans of the ASEAN Member States
(AMS) in achieving the official national targets for
renewable energy and energy efficiency, ASEAN’s
TPES is expected to reach 1,468Mtoe in 2035,
resulting in a slower average growth of 4% p.a.,
which is 0.7% lower than in the BAU scenario.
As shown in Figure 2, coal is expected to play a
dominant role, increasing the share of ASEAN’s
energy mix from 20% in 2013 to 33% under the
BAU scenario or 26.4% under the APS in 2035.
Increasing energy demand over the next
two decades will require joint efforts within the
ASEAN region beyond the targets set by individual
nations. In particular, ASEAN should step up cooperation in the field of policy development and
harmonisation. As several countries have already
successfully deployed effective policy instruments
in various areas, such as energy efficiency and
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renewable energy, these best practices could
be shared with all ASEAN Member States. The
aspirational targets set for renewable energy
and energy intensity should be used as drivers
to foster stronger regional co-operation and
economic integration.
Implementation Arrangement
The ASEAN Ministers of Energy Meeting (AMEM)
provides overall guidance and advice on the
implementation of APAEC 2016-2025. The AMEM
also provides guidance to address key issues,
challenges and concerns of common interest and
to set policy directions to achieve the goals of the
energy co-operation under the framework of the
AEC.
The Senior Officials Meeting on Energy (SOME)
collectively determines the implementation
priorities and provides direction and advice to
APAEC 2016-2025 to ensure co-ordination and
integration of APAEC strategies and actions.
In addition, SOME guides the formulation and
implementation of the yearly Work Plan of each
of the APAEC Programme Areas and provides the
annual progress updates to AMEM. To encourage
the transfer of latest technologies, SOME provides