Indian Politics & Policy Volume 1, Number 2, Fall 2018 | Page 13

Indian Politics & Policy tain) into well dug in Pakistani positions ... New Delhi could easily decide to open another front elsewhere along the [LOC] to ease its burden and force the Pakistanis to fight on territory favorable to India. Even if the conflict remained confined solely to Kargil, the danger of escalation was high.” 46 Deeply concerned about the prospect of an escalating war between two nuclear weapons states, Clinton dispatched the commander-in-chief of the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), Gen. Anthony Zinni, to Islamabad from June 23 to 27. Zinni urged Pakistani leaders to call off the Kargil operation; 47 in response, he reportedly received “fairly clear” assurances from his interlocutors that the so-called insurgents would be withdrawn from the Indian side of the LOC. 48 Immediately after Zinni’s mission to Pakistan, U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Gordon Lanpher briefed Indian officials on Zinni’s trip and urged continued Indian restraint in the face of escalatory pressures. 49 Then, during a late-June visit to Beijing, Sharif was rebuffed in his efforts to seek Chinese support for “Islamabad’s efforts to internationalize the Kashmir issue.” 50 Ultimately, New Delhi’s resolve to eject Pakistani forces from its side of the LOC, Indian military successes on the Himalayan ridges, and Pakistan’s diplomatic isolation convinced Islamabad to call off its misadventure. On July 2, Sharif called Clinton, pleading for American intervention to stop the fighting and mediate the Kashmir dispute; Clinton replied that he could only help if Pakistan first withdrew its forces. A similar exchange took place the next day, with Sharif offering to meet with Clinton in Washington on July 4. 51 According to one account, just prior to the Clinton–Sharif meeting, U.S. officials received “disturbing evidence that the Pakistanis were preparing their nuclear arsenals for possible deployment.” 52 However, Musharraf contradicts this version of events in his 2006 memoir: “In 1999 our nuclear capability was not yet operational. Merely exploding a bomb does not mean that you are operationally capable of deploying nuclear force in the field and delivering a bomb across the border over a selected target. Any talk of preparing for nuclear strikes is preposterous.” 53 The July 4 meeting was tense, with Clinton hammering home both the need for Pakistani withdrawal and the dark specter of nuclear war in South Asia. 54 At one point, “Clinton asked Sharif if he knew how advanced the threat of nuclear war really was? Did Sharif know his military was preparing their nuclear tipped missiles? Sharif seemed taken aback and said only that India was probably doing the same.” 55 Indeed, India reportedly had been “doing the same.” In an unverified account that refers to “several high-ranking [Indian] officials” but mentions no exact dates, an Indian journalist writes, “India ... activated all its three types of nuclear delivery vehicles and kept them at what is known as Readiness State 3—meaning that some nuclear bombs would be ready to be mated with the delivery vehicles at short notice.” 56 Clinton “then reminded Sharif how close the U.S. and Soviet Union had come to nuclear war in 1962 over Cuba. Did Sharif realize 10