Indian Politics & Policy Volume 1, Number 2, Fall 2018 | Page 11

Indian Politics & Policy evict the invaders.” 19 IAF ground-attack aircraft began to pound the intruders’ positions on May 26. In the ensuing few days, the Indian forces lost two aircraft and a helicopter. 20 In the longer term, IAF operations had devastating effects on the Pakistanis’ morale, as fighter aircraft pummeled their vulnerable supply lines. 21 The possibility of military operations across the LOC was a constant subject of debate within the CCS, but Indian forces were ordered to restrict their operations to the Indian side of the line. 22 Indian leaders also tasked their armed forces to prepare for war all along the Indo-Pakistani border. In late May, U.S. satellites detected these preparations. According to one account, “elements of the Indian army’s main offensive ‘strike force’ were loading tanks, artillery, and other heavy equipment onto flatbed rail cars.” In addition, U.S. officials said later, “armored units intended for offensive use were leaving their garrisons in Rajasthan ... and preparing to move.” 23 As one analyst puts it: “The key offensive formations intended for the international border, the three ‘strike corps,’ were ‘untouched’ by Kargil deployments and thus available if the political decision had been made to deploy them.” 24 A senior US official recounts that “we could all too easily imagine ... a deadly descent into full scale conflict all along the border with a danger of nuclear cataclysm.” 25 Nuclear-tinged statements by Pakistani leaders fed into these concerns. On May 30, four days after the IAF began attacking Pakistani positions, Foreign Secretary Shamshad Ahmad said that Pakistan would “not hesitate to use any weapon in our arsenal to defend our territorial integrity.” 26 One source speculates that this signaling was intended to caution India “against any further escalation, vertical or horizontal, in its conventional military response along the international border.” 27 Indeed, according to then-Indian Foreign Minister Jaswant Singh, New Delhi perceived at one point that Pakistan was “operationalizing its nuclear missiles.” 28 India’s army chief during the conflict, V.P. Malik, recollects that, in turn, “we considered it prudent to take some protective measures ... some of our missile assets were dispersed and relocated.” 29 Although media reports suggested “both sides moved ballistic missiles and possibly initiated nuclear weapons readiness measures during the crisis,” the exact nature of any such activities remains unclear to this day. 30 As of mid-June, India’s armed forces continued to have strict orders not to cross the LOC. 31 The IAF was carrying out some 40 sorties daily, 32 in an attempt to rout the Pakistani invaders—or at least to soften up their positions so that Indian ground forces could overwhelm them. In mid-June, the IAF and the Indian Navy were put on alert, with the Eastern Fleet reinforcing the Western Fleet. 33 The navy’s mission in the Arabian Sea was to contain Pakistan’s naval assets in the event of conflict escalation. On June 18, Malik ordered his forces to be “prepared for escalation—sudden or gradual—along the LoC or the international border and be prepared to go to (declared) war at 8