India-South Africa India-South Africa 2019 | Page 35

SPECIAL REPORT has diverted India’s attention, except for rhetoric and the use of multilateral forums. Yet, India’s robust democracy and growing economic and strategic importance in South Asia has consolidated its position as a regional power. India has been more skilful while using its regional infl uence to achieve tangible political gains in its relations with Western powers. Table 2 provides insights into regional power patterns. India and South Africa: The Way Ahead: Strategic Partnering and Reciprocal Cooperation While the conditions for regional leadership may be rooted in a combination of historical processes, material expressions of power, and ideational factors in conjunction with external sources of legitimization, the picture is more complex than even this depiction would suggest. Complicating the relationship between aspirant regional leaders and their respective geographic neighbourhood is the role of other emerging powers external to the region whose ability to mobilise resources challenges their presumptions of pre-eminence. For both countries, the spectacle of China, a global behemoth with tremendous fi nancial means at its call, increasingly competitive state- owned transnational corporations, and an aggressive strategy of seeking out vital resources and market share in the pursuit of its economic needs and exercising its global reach into their regions raises signifi cant questions. Finally, South Africa has seen both Chinese challenges to South African interests in Africa as well as collaboration. Chinese fi rms especially in the area of infrastructure and selective mining as well as through their trade in manufactured goods and textiles have caused formerly dominant South African fi rms to lose contracts and market share at an alarming rate. At the same time, some South African fi rms have been able to adapt to these conditions. Example: the country’s leading fi nancial institution. Standard Bank, sold 20 percent equity stake to China’s largest bank, the Industrial and Construction Bank of China, and embarked on a joint strategy of seeking fi nancial opportunities in the rest of Africa. Perhaps as troubling from a South African perspective was the growing economic presence of India in what Pretoria regards as its natural backyard. Since the late 1990s, both countries have sought out African resources as part of their overall expansion in the globalizing economy. Private mining multinationals like Vedanta took up positions in Gabon, Zambia, and Mozambique, in some cases, displacing South African fi rms and, in others, challenging them. Many more modest medium and small fi rms, especially from India, have entered into the fray and been able to acquire market share in southern and eastern Africa, sometimes at the expense of South African interests or putative eff orts to expand its interests. The implications of a weakening South African claim to the trappings of economic dominance, and with that a concomitant reduction in the infl uence it is capable of wielding in Africa, has begun to manifest itself in policy. The implications of a weakening South African claim to the trappings of economic dominance, and with that a concomitant reduction in the infl uence it is capable of wielding in Africa, has begun to manifest itself in policy. Diagnostic Perspective Huntington (1999) uses the concept of a uni-multi-polar system to describe the current structure of the international system. From a realist’s or realistic perspective, a multi-polar system can only be achieved by the emergence of regional uni-polarities that build coalitions to balance the superpower (Wohlforth 1999). As Nye (2004) argues, real global uni-polarity requires the hegemony’s dominance in two additional playing fi elds: global economics and other transnational problems such as terrorism, crime, global warming, and epidemics. As the current economic crisis demonstrates, transnational problems can only be resolved through the cooperation of many players. India and South Africa have already demonstrated their ability to advance their economic goals within the existing order. ‘Binding’ strategies aim to restrain stronger states through institutional agreements (Ikenberry & Wright, 2008). Critics of the soft balancing approach are right in their argument that other categories such as economic interest or regional security concerns are alternative explanations for second-tier states’ foreign policy behaviour (Brooks & Wohlforth, 2005). But these explanations do not exclude each other; they India-South Africa • 2019 • 35