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Part 2: The changing affiliate landscape Part 2: The changing affiliate landscape The affiliate sector has witnessed a huge amount of M&A deals in recent years, as the trend towards consolidation has played a significant role in the formation of a new class of super- affiliate that now dominates the landscape. Attention is now turning to how these businesses will develop and what pressures their formation will exert on the rest of the sector Consolidation interruptus The wave of M&A that has affected the gambling affiliates sector predates the present period of multiple regulatory squeezes in Europe, although it is certainly directly related to the trend towards greater oversight of affiliate marketing activities. Going by the data compiled by iGaming Business going back to the summer of 2014, the likes of Catena Media (with 34 deals by its own count), XL Media, Gaming Innovation Group, Better Collective, Raketech, Cherry Gaming, Gambling.com and others have engaged on many dozens of deals, which collectively have led to the emergence of the super-affiliate. It is not coincidental that all of the above named are also in some way listed entities, either directly, indirectly or, as is the case with the newest entrant into this area, Gambling.com, via the issuance of listed bonds. However, definitions are important and it should be said that while not all super-affiliates have achieved their status via acquisition, neither are they all publicly listed entities. Oddschecker, for instance, sits within the new Stars Group/Sky Betting & Gaming entity, the UK’s Racing Post has also made its presence felt and groups such as KaFe Rocks, Lotto Logic, Skores, OLBG and Natural Intelligence have less exposure due to being private but are by no means the sector’s also-rans. Still, despite the continued momentum for consolidation witnessed in the first six months of 2018, in the second half of the year it can be seen that the pace of M&A has slowed, if not completely stalled, with the last major deal being Catena Media’s ill-fated ASAP Italia acquisition. Significantly, that was overtaken by regulatory events when Italy’s populist coalition government moved to institute a ban on all forms of gambling marketing and advertising, including affiliates, a matter of weeks after the deal was announced. In fact, going by publicly available information tracked by iGaming Business/Clear Concise Media since the start of 2018, there were 17 deals in the first half worth at least £65m. However, after June we have not logged any deals involving the major consolidators (see Table 1). Hitting the brakes “There has definitely been a slowdown in the M&A and that is to be expected,” says Ian Sims, founder and chief executive at affiliate landing-page tracker Rightlander and formerly the owner of the SlotJunkies website. “It is cyclical. You build up, get to a point of saturation, move content around, trim things, work out what staff you have and in the meantime the Under pressure: Regulation and the evolution of affiliate marketing 9