Global Custodian Summer 2018 | Page 68

[ G C O N T H E G R O U N D | I N D I A ] R. Anand: A lot of changes have been introduced in the Indian market with regard to both domestic and global investors, but there are still reforms to carry out. One is deepening the secu- rities lending market. There is a securities lending and borrow- ing mechanism in place, but it has yet to take off. Nor is there a fully-fledged corporate debt market. We need to develop the ecosystem around this market. Richard Schwartz: How constrained is the securities lending mar- ket? Atul Badkar: The total open interest will be approximately $500 - 750 million and the total ADV will not be more than $40 million. This is probably because there is a very active single stock futures market. All categories of investor that exist in mature global markets are here too, such as retail, HNI, domestic prop, mutual funds, insurance and FPIs (HFT, hedge funds, quant funds, long only, etc). Out of these categories, whoever wants to or can short stocks, usually uses single stock futures. India is probably the largest single stock futures market in the world. David Jaegly: Either you do it through the derivatives market with a stock lending contract or through the OTC market, which is not available here. In Europe this is how the market works. It’s a very secure framework and agency lending is very popular in Europe. Hans Prakash: Entities like us used to have an OTC stock lending licence. In 2003-4, we were almost at $2-3 billion of OTC business and it was doing phenomenally well. At that time, the futures markets had just started off. Later, stock lending was channelled through exchange platforms rather than the OTC route. Both exchanges are doing their best, but it is really taking time for it to work out, largely because of the limited revenue an intermediary can make out of it as a new segment. 68 Global Custodian Summer 2018 David Jaegly: We have a steady and growing mutual funds industry here. One of the key players in Europe in this market is mutual funds. They lend out their portfolio and receive fees from that. We have this capacity too. I think it’s a question of education, because mutual funds are risk-averse. If you have a very sound process and can convince the local infrastructure of the potential scope of the business, securities lending could be a way of encouraging additional flows and liquidity from domestic players. Hans Prakash: Insurance companies are still not allowed to trade in equity derivatives and mutual funds have restrictions in terms of trading in derivatives. So, you’re right as far as risk aversion is concerned. Eventually the regulators may open up. I think they are moving in the right direction. Viraj Kulharni: As Atul mentioned, the size of the securities lend- ing business is not what it can potentially be. David mentioned Europe, but a closer-to-home analogy is Korea. Korea has close to $800 billion of securities lending activity. Technically, India could have a larger market. It all boils down to how the regulator wanted the market to develop; when securities lending started, there was a lot of paperwork, which discouraged potential partic- ipants. Another inhibiting factor was the roll over of settlements, which limits the demand for borrowing. There is scope to grow the segment. R. Anand: Also bear in mind the cost involved in running a securi- ties lending desk, when there are already attractive opportunities in the cash, derivatives and other markets. Richard Schwartz: The explosive growth of derivatives has been mentioned several times, Is it sustainable? Atul Badkar: There is no doubt that the equity derivatives market in India has exploded. While we speak about this growth, we are also leaders in terms of volume in certain instruments. SEBI has also been proactively putting out discussion papers managing this growth with caution. For example, globally there have been HFT accidents, so SEBI is asking for suggestions on how we can keep growing without having similar accidents. We also need to learn from oth- ers’ mistakes. To make sure that derivatives are not mis-sold in the market and the smallest investor is protected, the lot size of certain contracts had been increased to make sure that it’s mainly accessible to a slightly more advanced and well-informed investor. We have been taking steps intermittently and are gathering a lot of industry suggestions and implementing them in phases. From that perspective, I think there’s much more to do. We could grow five times from here in the next five to seven years as long as the appropriate risk control measures and technology are in place.