Global Custodian Summer 2018 | Page 46

[ M A R K E T R E V I E W | G R E E C E ] “We may now begin to discern a relatively positive outlook amongst all client segments, which will be further reinforced by a more stable political and nancial state of affairs.” ANNA FAKIOLA, HEAD OF SALES AND RELATIONSHIP MANAGEMENT FOR PI- RAEUS BANK’S SECURITIES SERVICES DIVISION. but still close to the market. He points out that, for the most part, the systemically important banks in Greece remain largely dependent on income from residual lending activity. “Imagine any other indus- try, where the manufacturer was not able to offer the product they were set up to produce,” he comments. In September 2017, the gross value of NPLs for Greek banks stood at €106 billion, around 47% of total loans, while the ratio for non-performing ex- posures (NPEs), including all loans, advances, debt securities and off-balance-sheet exposures, stood at 42%. A significant share of NPEs comprises loans to SMEs and residential mortgages. Hardouvelis sug- gests that while some 25% of NPLs are what might be called ‘strategic’, with the debtors hoping to take advantage of some future debt relief or court-related delay, 75% are real. In June 2016, a plan was launched to reduce NPLs and NPEs over three and a half years through a com- bination of write-offs, loan sales and other modes of restructuring. The first two NPL sales by Greek banks took place in the second half of 2017, while in late May, Piraeus Bank, Greece’s largest lender, agreed to sell a €1.45 billion ($1.7 billion) portfolio of secured, non-performing business loans to Bain Capital Credit. Provisions for the banking sector now amount to 46 Global Custodian Summer 2018 almost half the gross value of NPLs, higher than the EU average. “Provisions against these non-perform- ing assets make at least some recognition of income from loan sales a reasonable expectation,” says Ky- roudis, adding that the banks’ decreasing reliance on emergency funding and the dilution of government ownership are all positive signs. Where does that leave the transaction banking businesses of the Greek banks and, more specifical- ly, their securities services divisions? Hardouvelis does not see them getting to the front of the queue in terms of strategic consideration. “Sovereign ratings affect everything, even the ability of the banks to get money from their own central bank,” he says. “Transaction services are a small part of the banks’ overall problems.” Hardouvelis cites the example of foreign companies refusing to accept Greek bank Letters of Credit as a bigger problem for banks’ senior executive management. Kyroudis points out that in the current climate, even if fee-based services were to grow, the impact on the banks’ earnings pro- files would be muted. “Increasing fee-based income by 10% would make little dent on earnings,” he says, “while 10% growth on a loan portfolio would make a substantial impact.” Papapetrou at Piraeus Bank acknowledges that, “Local banks are placing their focus on improving their balance sheets, and within this emergency context, securities services divisions are reorganising