Global Custodian Summer 2018 | Page 18

[ U P D AT E ] Do we really need a London- China Stock Connect? INDUSTRY EXPERTS SEEM TO HAVE OPPOSING VIEWS ON WHAT BENEFITS A LON- DON-CHINA STOCK CONNECT WOULD BRING, SO WE LOOK AT HOW THE SCHEME WOULD BENEFIT INVESTORS. A fter several years of feverish specula- tion, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) finally confirmed in April that it would extend Stock Connect beyond Hong Kong to London, allowing UK-based investors to transact in mainland securities. This decision concludes a fairly reform-heavy 18 months in the country, which has seen the roll-out of Bond Connect and a sizeable increase in Stock Connect’s daily trading quotas. “China has introduced a number of market access schemes such as R/QFII, CIBM Direct, Stock Connect and Bond Connect, and these are very much welcome,” says Florence Lee, head of China sales and business develop- ment EMEA, HSBC Securities Services. 18 Global Custodian Summer 2018 Read more: Page 21 Third time lucky for China as A shares get included in MSCI Emerging Markets index. “While the precise details have yet to be ironed out for London-Shanghai Connect, the scheme should enable more investors to participate in China’s equity market.” Such an initiative would let Chinese inves- tors access the UK equity market, but would also enable European, and perhaps even US investors, to trade China A Shares through the planned London linkage. There are even studies being launched into whether a Lon- don-China Mutual Recognition of Funds or Bond Connect could work down the line. Not all market experts are quite so bullish about London-China Connect, and some see the initiative as being more cosmetic than anything else. Firstly, UK investors already have exposure to mainland equities through their regional brokers using the existing Hong Kong Stock Connect programme, so the need to a trade on a direct Lon- don-Shanghai exchange linkage is ques- tionable. Simultaneously, Chinese investors can purchase UK securities with the help of foreign subsidiaries of domestic brokerages. Industry experts have also expressed mixed opinions about the actual workabil- ity of a London-Shanghai Stock Connect. Glaring red flags which may impede the idea’s success include Chinese limitations on short-selling; divergent settlement time- frames; the use of renminbi in settlements, not to mention capital controls and frequent share trading suspensions on the mainland. However, China has a number of other Connect-esque initiatives in the develop- ment stages. ETF (exchange traded fund) Connect has been touted for launch in late 2018, although ongoing issues remain, namely an absence of a consolidated settle- ment time-frame for ETFs on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges, and ongoing reg- ulatory debate within China as to whether an ETF is a fund or a security. Another linkage under consideration – which is likely to be launched in late 2018 or 2019 – is IPO Connect, also referred to as Primary Connect. This scheme would allow mainland investors to subscribe to Hong Kong IPOs in what its proponents believe will attract more international listings into the city, attracted by the prospect of Chi- nese money. Experts have said IPO Connect is largely being driven by Hong Kong’s thirst to win the much sought after Saudi ARAM- CO l isting.