Global Custodian Spring 2019 | Page 42

[ I N D E P T H | T 2 S ] T here are some things in this world that should be left alone. A classic example of this is the Ark of the Covenant in the first installation of the Indiana Jones movie series, whereby the opening of an ancient chest releases a vortex of flames which subsequently melts a crowd of Nazi soldiers seeking immortality. That’s a huge spoiler alert for anyone who has spent the best part of 40 years trying to avoid the ending, but it’s an important message: somethings are best left untouched. When deciding whether to write our first in-depth TARGET2-Securities (T2S) feature in 12 months or not, we had to weigh up this conundrum. Has everything already been said and written about T2S and its achievements, possibilities and pitfalls? Or is it time to dig up the subject again and see what we can find. Despite the risk of the aforementioned vortex of flames, we decided to open the chest and look inside. We wanted to discover whether T2S should quite simply be classed as a ‘failure’ or not. Here’s a quick bit of background for those of you unfamiliar with the project, or a refresher if like us you’ve taken a bit of a break from tedious T2S hot-takes. Initially proposed in 2006, the T2S initia- tive was designed to create a harmonised European settlement platform to remedy many of the barriers and inefficiencies hindering EU cross-border clearing and settlement. For each transaction, settlement instruc- tions from the central securities deposi- taries and the central bank are matched by T2S when they enter the system. T2S then settles the transaction on a deliv- ery-versus-payment (DvP) basis. Through five waves of implementation, 23 CSDs across Europe were onboarded, and two currencies have been linked to the platform – the Euro and, more recent- Whichever way you look at it, the project took a long time to complete and suffered a number of setbacks on pro- posed timelines, this opened the door for widespread criticism and debate around the worthwhileness of the initiative. The caveat to any condemnation of the project is that it was conceived pre-fi- nancial crisis and then realised post-fi- nancial crisis, where the capital markets and financial services world was tipped upside down. On 18 September 2017 though, the landmark moment occurred for European market infrastructure occurred with the end-point of an arduous 11-year pro- gramme to harmonise Europe’s post-trade settlement activities as the final Eurozone markets went live on TARGET2 Securi- ties (T2S). What defines a ‘success’? “Rome was not built in a day and nor was T2S. It has come with some delays and as we know it’s not entirely there yet. But has it failed? Not at all. Has it delivered? The promises have delivered, you could argue it hasn’t reached 100%,” says Thilo Derenbach, general manager of the Clear- stream Banking UK Branch. When assessing whether T2S should be classed as a failure let’s look at the dictionary definition of the word: “the ne- glect or omission of expected or required action”. Ultimately, if the primary objec- tive was to harmonise the European mar- ket then T2S has been successful. How- ever, the proposed benefits went deeper than the infamous harmonisation tagline used to justify the project. Cost reduc- tions, increased volumes, real cross-CSD settlements, improved corporate actions and collateral management processes, liquidity benefits and lower safekeeping fees were all touted as positive side-ef- fects. Some of these objectives have yet “If it wasn’t for T2S we wouldn’t be where we are to standardise on Europe.” TOM CASTELEYN, HEAD OF PRODUCT MANAGEMENT FOR CUSTODY, CASH AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE, BNY MELLON ly, the Danish Krone. Costs following the completion of the project were proposed at a maximum of 15 cents per settlement. 42 Global Custodian Spring 2019 to be met, and given the time and money spent on the initiative, frustrations have been voiced frequently. The definition of success is “the accomplishment of an aim or purpose”, so right now we cannot herald T2S as an undisputed triumph. Derenbach believes however, that T2S was a facilitator for some of these benefits as opposed to them being primary objec- tives of the project. “Either people were misrepresenting what T2S was able to do or expecting things from an infrastructure that it wasn’t supposed to do,” he explains. “T2S is a conduit. It facilitated the foundation for us to be able to do some of these things. For the prime broker, for the global custodian, they want to see more. It’s not something T2S can deliver but it’s something it can facilitate. “Let’s use this harmonisation and build these services on top. One of my state- ments has been to say ‘build it and they will come’ but with my slight modifica- tion to make it ‘enhance it and they will come’.” Have we come too far? Across the securities services industry there remains a “we’ve come too far to go back” mentality whereby most of the stakeholders in the project have to stand by the initiative. But the evidence they present to support the project speaks for itself, the costs per settlement are now lower and there is market harmonisation, but plenty of participants have footed the bill so far, without a return on investment just yet. Whether it’s a success or failure might depend on which angle you are assessing it from. “Whether it was a success or not really depends on what you are judging it on,” says Virginie O’Shea, research director at Aite Group. “From the perspective of the ECB - it works and it does what it is supposed to do to some extent. It brought some markets into alignment with each other, so it didn’t come out as much of a cost saving, but more of a harmonisation.” BNY Mellon says from its own perspec- tive, T2S has fulfilled its promise and benefitted both its own business model and the industry. “T2S has largely delivered on its prom- ise and when I say that I mean its promise for us,” explains Tom Casteleyn, head of product management for custody, cash and foreign exchange at BNY Mellon. “Firstly, the standardisation of settlement,