G20 Foundation Publications Turkey 2015 | Page 38

38 TRADE & FINANCE ILO DIRECTOR GENERAL GUY RYDER’S REMARKS AT THE JOINT MEETING OF G20 FINANCE & LABOUR MINISTERS SEPT 4TH 2015 Guy Ryder, Director General, ILO Thank you, Chair. Ministers, the initiative to hold this joint session is most timely for three main reasons. First, growth has disappointed for a number of years and has continued to disappoint since G20 Leaders adopted their Brisbane goal of increasing growth by more than 2 per cent above trend projections by 2018. Continued cyclical weaknesses in demand are now interacting with weak investment and productivity growth and threatening to transform short-term problems into long-term ones. High unemployment and under-employment, coupled with stagnant wages in many G20 countries are major factors contributing to the weakness in global demand, which further discourages private investment in the real economy, despite extraordinarily low interest rates. The report before you by the International Organizations paints a worrying picture of persistently weak employment performance across most G20 countries. Furthermore it finds that the problem is not “jobless growth”—in fact there has been little change in the overall employment intensity of growth in the G20—but rather that there has simply not been enough growth. Secondly, rising inequality and a reduced labour income share in many countries is increasingly recognized as a factor contributing to weak economic growth. Labour market developments are an important driver of inequality trends, along with tax, transfer and education policies, and this points policy-makers to focus on how labour market policies can be coordinated with more traditional fiscal measures to accelerate growth and to reduce inequality. Thirdly, output growth and employment growth are mutually dependent and they tend to be mutually reinforcing—in either positive or negative directions, producing virtuous or, if not counteracted, vicious circles. A country-specific, comprehensive and multifaceted approach is required that simultaneously addresses deficits in demand, starting at the household consumption and investment levels, as well as supply constraints. While country circumstances clearly differ, there is sufficient common ground in the challenges and possible responses to make G20 coordination potentially very productive.