FSA Guide to the Art of Income Investing - HK Version 2016 | Page 6

OVERVIEW The challenges of income investing THE SEARCH FOR RELIABLE INCOME Income producing assets are found in more jurisdictions and in a wider range of securities than ever before. With so much choice available, fund managers need to focus on the reliability of the income and scour the marketplace with a discerning eye for quality. F or anyone seeking an income from their investments the years since the financial crash have proved to be difficult ones. Record low interest rates, falling bond yields and a growing trend among major corporates for either cutting or suspending dividends have all meant one thing: generating solid, low-risk income has become much harder to do. While the US Federal Reserve began raising rates for the first time in almost a decade at the end of 2015, at 0.5 % the federal funds rate remains interminably low, with corporate America not likely to come to the income investor’s rescue. Andrew Harvie, a client portfolio manager within the Columbia Threadneedle Global Equities Team, notes that while a number of US companies are attractive due to their ability to tap into the growth in consumer spending, the US tradition of using spare cash to buy back shares as opposed to paying out dividends reduces the attractiveness of such companies. “Broadly, we’re looking for companies that have the ability to benefit from an increase in consumer growth,” he explains. “We’re not looking at high-end retail, but more mid-market like Victoria’s Secret, Coca-Cola and McDonald’s, which have very strong, robust balance sheets with 6 (Asia), Columbia Threadneedle and co-manager of the Threadneedle (Lux) Developed Asia Growth and Income Fund, is having a knock-on positive effect on companies’ ability to return cash to shareholders. predictable revenue streams.”However, he adds: “We like the US, but we tend to be structurally underweight on the US because of buybacks.” On the other side of the Atlantic interest rates also remain low, with Bank of England governor Mark Carney indicating last month that the UK base rate is unlikely to rise in mid-2016 as previously expected and could in fact remain at 0.5% until the end of this year or even into 2017. Unlike in America, though, UK companies have a long tradition of paying out dividends, meaning that while the likes of FTSE 100 constituents Centrica, Glencore, Rolls-Royce and Standard Chartered have all slashed their payments in the past year there is still income of some description to be found. “The UK has a culture that has dividend pay-outs embedded in its corporate culture,” says Harvie. “If you’re talking about going from 8% to 5%, we can live with that.”While capital expenditure has been an issue over the past few years, with companies able to take advantage of low interest rates to fund their expansion only to find themselves cash constrained when it comes to paying dividends, the threat of another global recession has led some to scale back their ambitions. This, says Soo Nam Ng, Head of Asian Equities Margaret Taylor Contributing Editor, Fund Selector Asia Matthew Driskill Contributing Editor, Fund Selector Asia “In this environment, where growth is slowing, a lot of companies are becoming circumspect on how fast their business can grow and how much they want to deploy their funds,” he says. “People now are focusing less on expansion and even though earnings may be muted cashflow is improving, which means the ability to pay dividends is also improving.” In Asia-Pacific the picture is mixed, with Ng pointing to Australia and Singapore as jurisdictions that offer income-paying securities while in Hong Kong dividends remain hard to come by. “Australia and Singapore are tightly regulated markets and we like the big four banks in Australia MSCI World REITS vs MSCI World High Dividend 3 Year % 35% 20% 5% 28/2/13 31/10/13 30/6/14 28/2/15 31/10/15 -10% Index : MSCI World High Dividend Yield GTR Index : MSCI World/REITS GTR Fund Selector Asia Guide to the Art of Income Investing March 2016 www.fundselectorasia.com